JHMI News and Press, John Hancock Multifactor Industrials

Summary I have said for weeks that the Fed needs to slow the pace of its tightening campaign. Powell apparently decided last week that the market was taking things too far. Corporate earnings are being released for the quarter and, so far, they aren’t that bad. It w...

Summary Resource equities continued to exhibit remarkable resiliency during the quarter, with the S&P Global Natural Resources Index outpacing global equities and global bonds over the 3-month period. Macroeconomic themes mostly continued to dominate all resource equity-relate...

Summary This morning's report on Industrial Production for September shows a 0.38% increase month-over-month. The NBER declared the recent recession to be just two months, ending in April 2020. Retail sales and industrial production are far more volatile than employment and in...

Summary Total industrial production increased 0.4 percent in September to a record high after decreasing 0.1 percent in August. The selected high-tech industries index gained 0.8 percent in September and is up 4.9 percent versus a year ago. Industrial output posted a solid gai...

Summary The Empire State Manufacturing Index rates a level above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. Since this survey only goes back to July of 2001, we only have two complete business cycles with which to evaluate its usefulness as an indica...

Summary In recent months, the economy has shown remarkable resilience in the face of a cyclical downturn. As such, we remain in a situation where positive economic data (i.e. resilient Q3 corporate earnings) could be considered bearish as such an outcome will delay any hope of a dovis...

Summary Our big energy bet will pay off handsomely in the upcoming months. OPEC+ announced that they plan a production cut of up to two million barrels per day. It wanted to “shock” energy markets to get crude oil prices back up to $100 per barrel. ISM announced ...

Summary Over the last two weeks Federal Reserve officials delivered 37 speeches, all of the speakers competing to see who could be the most hawkish. The big problem with the Fed’s plan to kill inflation by reducing economic growth and raising the unemployment rate is that t...

Summary Average input costs rose at an increased rate for the first time in five months in September, hinting at stubbornly persistent inflation within the worldwide factory sector. Supply chain cost pressures and wage pressures eased, helping bring down factory cost inflation. ...

Summary Global business conditions worsened in the manufacturing sector in September. The JPMorgan Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index™ (PMI™) dropped below the neutral level of 50.0 for the first time since June 2020. Easing of supply chain delays we...