JHML News and Press, John Hancock Multifactor Large Cap From 09/05/22

Summary The recent jitters in markets have been due to economic data being too strong. Fixed income markets are likely to settle down when central banks signal that financial conditions are sufficiently tight. The current uncertainty may turn out to be worse than the slowdown ...

Summary In November of ’21, stock price momentum started to slow. I was precisely wrong or premature in labeling the first half of ’22 a recession. Falling stock prices had a direct and indirect impact, probably hurting the average American by about 10%. ...

The yield curve is inverted from the 6-month T-bill to the 10-year Treasury note, which would suggest that the bond market’s message is “recession ahead, batten down the hatches”. Relatively tight risk spreads suggest that nobody is thinking too seriously about th...

Assessing the main issues behind recent market performance. What to expect at the Jackson Hole symposium. Economic growth slows in China. On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Director of Client Investment Strategies, Mark Eibel, and Sophie Antal-Gilbert, Head ...

Inflationary pressures have eased in recent months thanks to reduced supply-chain frictions and the commodity market coming off the boil. Slower input cost inflation reflected an easing of pressures among both manufacturers and service providers. With staff shortages continuing gl...

Economic slowdown but no recession! That message comes from the latest employment report, service sector data, and Federal Reserve. While James Bullard and others currently directing the monetary policy regime suggest they can quell inflation with only an economic slowdown, history su...

CPI numbers show an easing of inflation. Will the Fed keep raising rates? China inflation sits at 2.7%. Does that impact their government policies? A 45% recession likelihood projection. What’s driving that number? Inflation, recession, and China are the key topic...

Structural recessions are lengthy, tumultuous upheavals that can set the stage for excellent long-term expansion or unraveling and collapse. Recessions that cleanse the system of financial deadwood are necessary and yield excellent results. If the economy and society persevere thr...

The entire notion that there is a hard and fast line indicating "recession" is not realistic or useful. The more useful approach is to look at data points as mostly signal noise that fail to reflect or illuminate the core dynamics of the economy. If we're not measuring or ponderin...

The global business climate is deteriorating in mid-2022, putting forecasters on recession watch. Real global GDP is likely to have declined in the second quarter of 2022, pulled down by contractions in emerging Europe, mainland China, and the United States. Adverse financial cond...