JJE News and Press, iPathA Series B Bloomberg Energy Subindex Total Return ETN From 02/16/23

Summary With the CPI losing the relief from cooling energy prices, this month showed a solid uptick in prices, coming in at 0.54% (~6.6% annualized). One concerning thing about the most recent print is that many categories sit above the current 12-month trend. The Fed has been reloa...

Summary The U.S. is now in the midst of producing record amounts of natural gas, which will help prices firm up. The milder winter kept prices low, but as the U.S. and Europe are hit by more Arctic air fronts in late winter, natural gas prices could start rising. As seasonal demand rise...

Summary The jobs report certainly seemed good, but everyone who’s been doing this a while knows that January is one of the months that often gets revised a lot. Markets have pushed out the recession start date quite a bit over the last two weeks. Eurodollar and SOFR futures - sho...

Summary October non-OPEC oil production increased by 562 kb/d to 50,565 kb/d. For frac spreads, the general trend since late February 2022 can best be described as essentially flat around the 290 level but with a hint of a slow increase toward 300 frac spreads. World oil production ...

Summary For global equity investors, what’s important is to identify broad trajectories of growth and inflation rates, and then to forecast turning points, or changes in those trajectories. Olga Bitel, Global Equity Strategist, and Hugo Scott‐Gall, portfolio manager and co...

Summary A recession in the United States and in Europe will be less severe than had been expected. Continued economic and military support from the West is the most critical element I think for Ukraine going forward. There's been some improvement in the tone of the relationship betw...

Summary One of the key assumptions behind commodity markets is that it is economic demand that drives pricing. It has been long-conflated that sentiment drives economic activity and that certain correlated indicators are believed to be economic measures and good predictors of future eco...

Summary A day after the Fed’s announcement, the ECB raised its key interest rate 0.5% to 2.5% on Thursday. This was the fifth straight increase in the ECB’s key interest rate. Bond investors are fully expecting inflation to cool off, and that the Fed’s key interest ...

Summary Why Chinese demand will drive oil prices this year. Oil supplies have been softer, but that trend is unlikely to continue. Have oil prices bottomed for 2023? The price of crude has been hovering around $80 per barrel, mainly on concerns about global demand ...

Summary After a year best forgotten, 2023 has started out with a bang. January was a strong month that gave equity investors a timely relief rally. While this was a welcomed development, I am concerned that equity prices are getting too disconnected from reality. We have a challenging m...