JMBS News and Press, Janus Henderson Mortgage-Backed Securities From 05/05/23

2023-05-05 02:45:00 ET Summary As bond yields rose in 2022, investors sought refuge in high-yield bank loans, whose floating coupons are often heralded as an antidote to rising rates. But with conditions shaping up differently in 2023, bank loans may face challenges. We think ...

2023-05-05 02:00:00 ET Summary We believe this latest Fed hike may be the last hike of the current cycle. A slowing economy, moderating inflation and stress in the banking system support a Fed pause. But we expect the Fed to keep rates at current levels for an extended period as i...

2023-05-02 02:15:00 ET Summary Stock and bond markets ended the first quarter of 2023 with solid gains despite investor concerns. Gains in the stock and bond markets were primarily driven by a continued decline in interest rates, the rate of inflation, and surprisingly resilient e...

2023-04-30 08:02:00 ET Summary The pandemic hurt small retailers by hastening the transition to digital commerce and emptied office buildings by turning living rooms into workspace. Although it’s tempting to lump commercial real estate together, the commercial real estate m...

2023-04-28 02:00:00 ET Summary The Fed only holds government-backed Agency MBS where the taxpayer carries the credit risk, not the Fed. The FDIC bridge banks have been and still are the largest of the bank liquidity support programs. Treasury notes and bonds roll off the balan...

2023-04-22 11:31:00 ET Summary High-quality, U.S. agency mortgage-backed securities continue to offer favorable yields and have historically outperformed through recessions, a scenario that looks increasingly likely in the fourth quarter of this year. MBS also stands to benefit fr...

2023-04-21 17:34:00 ET Summary What can breakeven inflation rates tell us about oil prices, energy stocks, and market direction? It turns out it’s a lot more than you think. With employment back to pre-pandemic levels, the monetary impulse has reversed, the supply-demand im...

2023-04-20 13:34:00 ET Summary The 60/40 stock/bond portfolio is the gold standard of portfolios. The math on the 40% slice is much cleaner. A bond aggregate is about a 5-year instrument in my All Duration model. In today’s environment, the aggregated components of a 60...

2023-04-20 02:54:00 ET Summary Managers have become less bearish on credit spreads with ~40% expecting spreads to be range-bound in the next 12 months. Inflation and the prospect of recession are the major concerns among managers. At the time of the survey close on Feb. 15, pa...

2023-04-17 08:59:00 ET Summary Why we think recent banking sector stress has made already attractive U.S. mortgage securities even more keenly valued. With agency mortgages, the key risk involves prepayments: early or faster-than-scheduled repayment. In normal circumstances, this ...