KLDW News and Press, Knowledge Leaders Developed World From 11/09/22

Summary Equity investors have sustained significant losses this year and are facing a long list of new uncertainties. Although interest rates have risen sharply over the past two years, they’re quite low from a historical perspective. Looking back two decades from Octob...

Summary After rallying 9% off the October 12 bottom, the market pulled back last week but still sits 5.4% above the low point. Commodities are trouncing all other major asset classes on a YTD basis, largely due to the rise in oil, natural gas, and agricultural prices. The newe...

Summary The global manufacturing PMI survey's Output Index signalled a third successive monthly drop in worldwide factory production in October. Of the 31 economies for which S&P Global PMI data are available for October, some 21 reported falling production, which was also the...

Summary The global economy has been hit by several headwinds, almost all of them leading back to higher inflation. Europe is likely already in recession, the U.S. will enter recession in Q2 2023, while China struggles to make recovery headway. Markets have faced up to the reality ...

Summary We see central banks on a path to overtighten policy. Their balance sheet reductions up selling pressure on government bonds, so we’re underweight. We think rates will - and may already have - hit levels that make recessions foretold. That isn’t yet reflected...

Summary With inflationary pressures and recessionary fears remaining top-of-mind, equity managers see no short-term end to the bumpy ride in markets. One of the key risks cited by equity managers in our third-quarter report is the possibility of inflation remaining stuck at high l...

Summary Business investment and employment look set to also deteriorate amid the drop in confidence and signs of excess capacity developing. The US economic downturn gathered significant momentum in October, according to the flash S&P Global PMI data. A further uncertainty...

Summary The recession we see from Federal Reserve rate hikes eclipses any impact from U.S. midterm elections. We stay underweight developed market (DM) stocks. Yields rose and stocks rallied off lows as markets mulled the scope of central bank rate hikes amid a “whatever it...

Summary October flash PMI data will provide much needed insights into the risk of some of the world's major economies falling into recession. Falling or near-stalled output was seen across the four largest developed economies - the 'G4'. Only Japan recorded expansion, and even her...

Summary How far will policy rates need to go to tame inflation and is a recession imminent? Until central banks see a significant decline in wage growth, they’re likely to keep conditions tighter for longer. There’s evidence that conditions may continue to suppor...