KLDW News and Press, Knowledge Leaders Developed World From 12/13/21

We see 2022 heralding a new market regime by delivering global stock gains and bond losses for a second year in a row - a first in about half a century. Stocks rallied back to near record levels and yields rose last week as worries of Omicron dissipated. China’s central bank lo...

We may see $14,750 become the next downside target level if the NQ falls below this level on strong selling. The current Custom Volatility Index level is below the last two pullbacks in the US markets and well within the support channel from late 2020 and early 2021. The next 2 to...

Global economic growth will be slower but still above trend in 2022. This forecast should allow equities to outperform bonds. Inflation has yet to peak, but it will likely decline over the year and as a result any central bank tightening will be modest. 2021 was a year of rebound ...

The US Census Bureau today reported that US imports of goods and services reached a record monthly high of $290.7 billion in October 2021. China’s GAC says imports into that country continue to rise at a seemingly decent rate, up a sizzling 31.7% year-over-year in October. ...

A 2021 international investing review from the perspective of an asset manager with decades of direct investments and participatory business consulting expertise in a wide group of frontier and emerging markets. How this perspective can offer investment opportunities not easily access...

As we look ahead to 2022, our base case is for positive global growth and elevated inflation in the near term. Though we see inflation moderating during the year, there are upside risks to our forecast. We believe growth assets, such as equities and credit, will tend to deliver positi...

The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked lower in November but remains elevated relative to recent history. Adjusting the forecast with short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors (defined below) reduces - substantially - GMI’s ex...

The discovery of the Omicron COVID-19 variant has resulted in surging market volatility and declines in global equity markets. We believe developed nations are motivated to avoid the blanket lockdowns of 2020. Investors continue to be in a difficult spot with risk premia on global...

For investors, the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ latest inflation report may raise feelings of déjà vu and concerns about economies, and subsequently markets, being stuck in their own time warp; a return to the inflationary 1970s. Organic demand growth in terms of new d...

In the second week in November, portions of the US and European markets topped out, while China’s market was already in decline. This week, a new COVID variant, Omnicron (B.1.1.529), from Africa emerged and is growing very fast. On Friday, most of the world’s stock marke...