KLDW News and Press, Knowledge Leaders Developed World From 05/25/22

Global consumer price inflation picked up from 5.3% y/y in December 2021 to an estimated 7.0% this May, a pace that will likely be maintained through September. Our May forecast already incorporates a mild quarter-on-quarter contraction in eurozone real GDP in the second quarter and d...

Price pressures intensified on average, thanks in part to higher energy prices. While the China impact was most commonly reported in Japan, the Ukraine war impact was most heavily felt in the eurozone. For all economies, the path of inflation and the cost-of-living crisis remains ...

How similar will the next three or five years look from the years that immediately preceded the pandemic? And what are the implications for us as global equity investors? We don’t expect anything like the hyperinflation and stagflation we experienced in the 1970s; our outlook s...

The economic news emanating from Britain and the European Union is continuing to come in weak, as many European countries are expected to slip into a recession this year. While inflation may be ebbing in China and the U.S., inflation is still accelerating in Britain and the rest of Eu...

We cut developed market (DM) equities to neutral on a risk of the Fed talking itself into overtightening policy and China adding to a weaker global outlook. Stocks plumbed new 2022 lows on fears steep rate rises will trigger a growth slowdown. We see a brighter picture, but this may n...

Our rising price problem is, more than anything, a supply problem, and reducing demand is certainly one way to tackle it. But returning to the pre-COVID growth rate doesn’t mean we are headed to recession, that contraction is in our immediate future. US stocks and REITs wer...

Addressing the recent tumble in markets, Eitelman noted that the week of May 16 was particularly rough for U.S. equities, with the S&P 500  Index declining by roughly 4%, as of market close on May 19. The competing signals within the CVS investing framework have led Eitelman ...

The new export orders index from S&P Global's PMI business surveys tracks foreign demand for both goods and services. In a manufacturing company, goods exports are readily quantified as those to be shipped to non-domestic customers. After the initial pandemic downturn in deman...

The overall global economic slowdown, plus China’s Covid lockdowns, are taking a toll. Apple and GE have warned their distributors about production and delivery problems due to China. Another example is falling vehicle sales in April in China for BMW, VW Group, and Tesla. Since...

Stock markets have seen immense volatility this year. The sharply rising inflation, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and central banks raising interest rates are all weighing on equities. With volatility expected to remain high, reducing equity risk can be challenging but achie...