LQDH News and Press, iShares Interest Rate Hedged Corporate Bond From 02/14/23

Summary Following the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed’s) series of aggressive interest-rate hikes, inflationary pressures have shown signs of easing. We believe this may pave the way for a “pivot to a pause” in monetary policy. The impact of tightening financial co...

Summary Changes in the bond market reflect changes in interest rates, inflation expectations, and overall economic conditions, all of which have a significant impact on the stock market. This week, we saw a bit of a dislocation in the bond/stock market relationship. Corporate bonds and ...

Summary People are looking here and there for clues but they aren’t grasping what the Fed is actually doing to either the state of the nation or to both the bond and equity markets. The Fed’s relentless pursuit to lower our rate of inflation is having a quite severe effect...

Summary Markets posted strong gains in January, but will it last? Impact of China's reopening on global markets. Is this the year for a rebound in fixed income? Global markets have had a positive start to the year. But the year ahead likely won’t be withou...

Summary We see central banks stumbling into a more nuanced phase of the inflation fight and nearing a pause on hikes. We like short-term bonds and credit for income. U.S. stocks rose but trimmed gains and Treasury yields jumped after U.S. jobs data showed a tight labor market, reviving ...

Summary If 2022 was an unsettling year for equities, as I noted in my second data post, it was an even more tumultuous year for the bond market. If the question is why interest rates rose a lot in 2022, and if your answer to that question is the Fed, you have, in my view, lost the scrip...

Summary Investing can seem like an endless cycle of booms and busts. The correlations among European, Japanese, and emerging market equities as well as US high-yield bonds increased consistently since 1989. According to monthly return data, the average S&P 500 correlations to th...

Summary We don’t see major central bank rate cuts this year, so we prefer to earn income in short-term bonds, high-grade credit and agency mortgage-backed securities. U.S. stocks rose and Treasury yields were mostly steady. U.S. Q4 GDP was resilient but declining consumer spendin...

Summary If central banks are intent on beating inflation even at the expense of worsening the economic slowdown, that is a threat to corporate earnings, and therefore to equity prices. Markets that reward tactical liquidity providers while offering genuinely uncorrelated returns could b...

Summary When the height of the entire Yield Curve is the 6-month Treasury Bill, you know that you are living in some very strange place. There are those that suggest that some kind of “pivot,” by the Fed is on the horizon. I am not in this camp, and do not expect to see th...