OILX News and Press, UBS AG London Branch ZC SP ETRACS REDEEM 22/02/2046 USD 25 - Ser B From 11/14/22

Summary In our polarized world, your politics can be hazardous to your performance. Many political claims seem to make sense but do not hold water. The economy, energy policy and inflation may be the poster children of this campaign. Market reaction going into (and coming ...

Summary The futures curves for crude oil, gasoline and ultra-low sulfur diesel are in backwardation. One month ago, with inventories of diesel fuel and gasoline abnormally low, OPEC+ slashed production of crude oil by 2 million barrels per day. In the past month, oil prices ha...

Summary July Non-OPEC oil production increased by 697 kb/d to 49,616 kb/d. World oil production in July increased by 944 kb/d to 80,191 kb/d according to the EIA. August production is expected to increase by 1,357 kb/d to 81,548 kb/d. A guest post by Ovi Belo...

Summary U.S. midterm elections: Win, lose or draw for markets? What sectors may benefit from a divided government. Will equity markets get the post midterm election bump? For further details see: U.S. Midterm Elections: Win, Lose Or Draw For Markets? ...

Summary Why the declines in tech on the S&P 500 may be hiding strength in other sectors from investors. The energy sector may still provide opportunities for investors. Insurers are not suffering the same challenges as other financials in the current high-rate environment....

Summary Distillate inventories often peak early in the year when production is high and economic activity is low, but tend to draw down into the summer. High natural gas prices are also increasing refining costs. Climate policies won’t be reversed and refineries cannot ...

Summary Commodity indexes have maintained good gains all year in the face of rising interest rates and the stronger U.S. dollar. October was a relatively quiet month for most markets, commodities included. The U.S. dollar was slightly lower despite U.S. 2-year yields rising by 20 ...

Summary In light of the recent outperformance of energy stocks, the sector looks to be in need of a period of consolidation. As such, we may be entering a period whereby the oil price itself outperforms energy companies. Depending on one’s timeframe, investors may do well t...

Summary The prices of oil, copper, and iron ore are all sharply down from their peaks earlier this year. The transition to green power will, in the medium term, boost demand for hydrocarbons. Even if the global economy were to collapse once again, the capital cycle could allow...

Summary While a divided US government may look appealing, there are long-term risks amid resulting gridlock. The longest night belonged to the pollsters and pundits, whose predictions for a “red wave” did not come to fruition. Looking at historical relationships ...