OILX News and Press, UBS AG London Branch ZC SP ETRACS REDEEM 22/02/2046 USD 25 - Ser B From 03/04/23

2023-03-04 05:55:00 ET Summary Energy costs for oil and gas imports rise owing to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, a dislocation that keeps shifting outlooks. The global LNG trade is expected to grow and the U.S. is a beneficiary. One cannot auto-pilot their investments in oil...

Summary U.S. producers look to be in a favorable long-term position to help meet the world’s insatiable demand for energy. Electricity producers are increasingly shifting from coal to natural gas and renewable energy sources to lower overall CO2 emissions. Many energy-infrast...

Summary Energy prices came under further pressure in February, particularly when it comes to natural gas. Storage in Europe is looking increasingly comfortable, and it is a similar story for the US natural gas market. Oil prices continue to trade in a range-bound manner. ...

Summary Moving from refinery maintenance season toward the driving season, oil prices should begin to firm up. If there is a market correction, then oil prices are likely to succumb to the gravitational pull of lower prices. I remain cautious about the stock market, I also remain ca...

Summary Like the bloated January jobs report, the retail sales report was also apparently distorted by seasonal adjustments. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes were released on Wednesday, revealing that the vast majority of FOMC voting members favored a 0.25% key interest ...

Summary There is some evidence of lower consumption trends for crude oil as LNG becomes a more popular fuel. Next week’s EIA data set will examine the trends concerning this observation. The rig count belies the rising Fudge Factor in EIA data which suggests US Crude producti...

Summary The average annual increase in World C+C output over the 2005Q1 to 2024Q4 period (20 years) is about 473 kb/d. The top 10 non-OPEC oil producers as of 2022Q3 are the US, Russia, Canada, China, Brazil, Norway, Mexico, Kazakhstan, Qatar, and Oman. The EIA and OPEC have similar...

Summary Given the forecastable nature of the business cycle, understanding what markets are pricing in from a business cycle perspective is an integral tool to one’s asset allocation decisions. As it stands, stocks as a whole have done a solid job pricing in the growth slowdown. ...

Summary As Europe strives to end its reliance on Russian crude oil, the future does not look good for Russia. Sadly, the Biden Administration is still playing politics with our Strategic Petroleum Reserve. In the wake of stunning January retail sales report, most economists will be ...

Summary OPEC crude output was revised lower in December 2022 by 45 kb/d compared to last month’s report and November 2022 OPEC crude output was revised lower by 16 kb/d. OPEC output has increased by 797 kb/d since January 2022, from 28079 kb/d to 28876 kb/d in January 2023. W...