OPER News and Press, ETF Series Solutions ClearShares Ultra-Short Maturity From 03/02/21

Despite the short-term pullback in yields, the long-term trend for bond yields remains up and the stock market, although weakened, is still not completely in sell territory, although that could change in a hurry. The Fed is either going to have to step up its bond buying to lower rate...

The 10-year Treasury yield fell below 1% in the early stages of the Covid-19 pandemic. As you've probably heard, it's back above that level now and rising fast. Shorter-term rates continue to stay low though, causing a steepening of the yield curve. This week, I am taking a quanti...

The recent rise in Treasury yields has spooked the equity markets. This is obvious from the recent performance of the bond markets as compared to the stock markets. Inflation is not the cause of this rise, but rather a combination of the stimulus measures, a rebounding economy, our CO...

Prices in government bond markets around the world dropped this week and yields soared as investors focused ever more closely on the potential for inflation to come roaring back in the second half of the year, if not sooner. If the Fed is truly content to sit back and watch intermedia...

Bonds were selling off, stocks were selling off, commodities were rallying. What really happened last week was the market's real growth expectations improved. What investors should have learned last week is that diversification does indeed work and it works when you need it most. ...

Bond yields are rising which is okay if a rising economy is the cause. They also need to rise slowly as to not shock markets. Well, bond yields began to rise too quickly last week and investors began to panic, sending the stock market lower. The CNN Fear and Greed index is at a Ne...

The sell-off in government bond yields has attracted a fair amount of excited commentary. The subtext is that something interesting is going to happen. I think most estimates of the term premium are weak, and that the 5-year ought to have a steady positive term premium. Bond marke...

The COVID-19 recession was an exogenous shock, which meant that it could be deep and painful but was unlikely to last very long. This meant that the probability of a deflationary (or disinflationary) recovery was unlikely. Credit contractions are inherently deflationary because they s...

In January 2020, the 10-year US Treasury had yield of 1.8%. The S&P 500 was on its way to a 4.6% gain and a new record high by February. Then, Covid-19 hit, and in the flight to safety that followed, the 10-year yield went below one-half of one percent. When you consider that low ...

The reflation theme is alive, well, and prospering. Fed Chairman Powell sees a long road to recovery, is not concerned about rising prices, and he plans to keep short-term rates low for a long time. And it's not just stocks that are benefiting. For further details see: R...