PBUG News and Press, Barclays Bank PLC ZC SP ETN PERPETUAL USD From 07/08/22

In the near term, gold will likely remain reactive to real rates, driven by the speed at which global central banks tighten monetary policy in an effort to control inflation. Inflation remains at historically high levels. The challenging environment has implications for consumer d...

Despite all the bullish signals, precious metals and miners continued lower this week. Silver is way more bearish than gold right now, so silver is likely closer to its bottom and will blow past gold once the rally begins. Commercials continue to have their lowest short position s...

Volatility in the markets this year has largely been driven by the rise in inflation. Equity prices remain extremely elevated while gold prices remain relatively depressed. Episodes of rising inflation typically see just the opposite. If inflation proves more durable than markets ...

Once the COVID distortions are over the economy will return to its previous state of roughly 2% growth and 2% inflation. Real sales of durable goods surged throughout COVID but accelerated rapidly with stimulus payments; sales peaked right as Biden’s American Rescue Act was imp...

The SPX should be bottoming out for the next few months. The metals are setting up their own bottoming. The TLT could see one more lower low before a major rally takes hold. For those that have been reading me lately, you would know that I have been taking a lot more tim...

When equities fall, expected interest rates decline but that hasn’t happened amid persistent inflation. When it comes to higher rates, the Federal Reserve has already raised rates 1.5%, and both Fed fund futures and the Fed’s own statements suggest that they might hike a...

Even with rising interest rates and the dollar at multi-year highs, gold has held its ground. Holding gold does not generate interest income like a bond or a bank account. In fact, according to an analysis by the World Gold Council, real yields below 2.5% have not been substantial...

Interest rates have been on the rise in a very real way for the first time in the average market participant’s memory. Higher rates certainly don’t help gold prices. Inflation would normally push gold prices higher, but are we really experiencing inflation in the traditi...

For the stock market to bottom, we need a clear vision of how the Fed is going to back off on its assault on high-beta assets. There are more excess reserves in the system now, so the much more aggressive rate of QT may not bite right away, but QT has never reached this scale, so high...

Goldman Sachs has recently raised its year-end 2022, gold price target to $2500/oz, signaling a strong 2022 after gold prices ended 2021 down approximately 4%. Last year’s strong economic recovery and growth created conditions for the decline in gold, as investors moved to risk...