PSQ News and Press, ProShares Short QQQ From 07/06/22

The revised long-term outlook projects an annualized return of 4.9%. The current risk premium forecast for GMI suggests that multi-asset-class strategies overall will generate lower returns relative to results posted in recent years. Combining forecasts via several models may prov...

A recession is not defined as two consecutive quarters of declining real GDP, though that’s a common rule of thumb. Real GDP dropped 1,6% in the first quarter of 2022. Second quarter estimates will be released in late July, with revisions in August and September as more data be...

On July 1, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta lowered its Q2 GDP projection to -2.1%, officially forecasting a recession. If the Atlanta Fed’s projection of negative growth in Q2 comes to pass, it will couple with the first quarter decline of -1.6% to put the US economy solidl...

Once the COVID distortions are over the economy will return to its previous state of roughly 2% growth and 2% inflation. Real sales of durable goods surged throughout COVID but accelerated rapidly with stimulus payments; sales peaked right as Biden’s American Rescue Act was imp...

Anchored by the deflationary experiences of the last decade, the Fed waited until headline CPI inflation had hit 7.9% before it finally started tightening monetary policy. This delayed response has permitted inflation expectations to rise and wage growth pressures to increase. Monetar...

A broad range of data suggests recession risks in the U.S. are mounting. Stocks currently remain under selling pressure due to a variety of issues causing a repricing of valuations. Investing during a recession can be dangerous, particularly when elevated valuations are present ac...

Three, new, indicators based on the amount of buying in bearish ETFs are signaling a strong, “risk on” moment. They are based on the “theory of contrary opinion,” the theory that says stock prices reach bottom when most investors are bearish and are expecti...

The recent unusually large swing in household wealth is not getting the attention it deserves as another recession risk. According to the St. Louis Federal Reserve, largely as a result of surging equity and home prices, household wealth increased from $116 trillion at the end of 2019 ...

The second quarter of 2022 was another brutal one for fixed-income instruments, with yields rising across the board. The story was even worse for tax-free munis. The Fed’s hiking, coupled with their sharply more hawkish rhetoric, has spooked all bond markets since March and thr...

Commodities (used in the production of goods) are considered a leading indicator of inflation. Recessions are a normal corrective phase of the economic cycle, but politicians, central banks, most financial advisors, and economists never see them coming. Central bank policies can h...