PTBD News and Press, Pacer Trendpilot US Bond ETF From 06/02/21

The major asset classes delivered across-the-board gains for a second month in a row in May. Everything apart from cash was up last month, led by a sizzling rally in foreign inflation-linked government bonds. The FTSE Russell World Inflation Index ex-US surged 4.0% last month, the...

A reader asked for my thoughts on PTBD. PTBD use a rules-based trend following strategy to time the bond market. The strategy makes theoretical sense, has worked in the past, but I'm wary about its future effectiveness. For further details see: PTBD: Momentum Bond Fund, ...

Diversification remains key. Flexible strategies can also take advantage of a more uncertain yield and spread environment. We continue to find reasonable opportunity in both public and private credit markets. We find value in non-agency mortgages and prefer cyclicals to growth sto...

Today's post rolls out the inaugural Risk Review column for the major asset classes, a monthly update that's the companion piece to the monthly performance report and risk-premia estimates. Risk analysis is a broad and deep subject and so this monthly update will be no one's idea of a...

There has been much commentary suggesting bonds have gotten overvalued due to historically low rates. At current rates, economic growth will likely very quickly return to sub-2% growth by 2022. Are bonds overvalued? No. But stocks are, and the bond market is ringing alarm bells wa...

The underlying quality mix in the high yield market is at an all-time high. The high yield market has benefited in recent years from reduced levels in two key drivers of ratings downgrades and default triggers. High yield new issuance set a record during 2020. For further de...

The average CCC-or-below rated junk bonds have yielded between 7.09% and 7.16% over the past two weeks, a new all-time record low. AMC Entertainment, which has been talking about how it is trying to stave off a bankruptcy filing, issued $500 million of secured notes in April 2020 to g...

The bond market is partying like it's 1999, and there is no end in sight. Despite wide spreads and tight spreads, bonds still need to be bought by insurance companies, money managers, university endowments and other institutions that have ratings partially based upon their bond positi...

The first quarter of 2021 brought what the Asset Allocation Committee expected, and as it looks to the next six to 12 months, it faces two questions. Do we think the economy will overheat, pushing bond yields to levels that unsettle equity markets or even force central banks to stifle...

Initial signs may appear as base effects and higher commodity prices push headline inflation in advanced economies temporarily higher. With massive stimulus funds sloshing around the global economy, it's prudent to be prepared - and that means staying active. With the right strate...