PTEU News and Press, Pacer TrendpilotTM European Index From 07/11/19

The Basic British Problem The basic problem with the British economy at the moment in Brexit. When is the country going to leave the European Union? On what terms? Will it, actually, really leave? All of these lead to uncertainty and uncertainty can be a right killer for economic growth. So,...

Monetary policy since the GFC of 2008 has been characterised by the near-zero (and even negative) policy rates, negative bank rates, negative Government debt yields and rampant asset price inflation. The result has been zombification of the advanced economies. Here is the latest advanced est...

The Event The President of Turkey, Recep Erdogan, has fired the central bank Governor. As a result Turkish bond prices have slipped, yields have risen. The Lira has fallen on the FX exchanges, the stock market is slipping - all the signs of the markets thinking this is a bad idea. And it is ...

These macroeconomic numbers The reason we look at these varied macroeconomic statistics is that we want to know, divine, if and when the economy is going to turn. We know very well that we've not abolished the business cycle and quite clearly we want, as investors, to be differently orientat...

The very concept of the Eurozone is a difficult one Sure, it's the set of countries, economies, that use the same currency. And thus have the same central bank and the same base interest rates. The actual problem with the concept being that they're just not the same economy and are all worki...

The European Council's decision to propose Christine Lagarde and Ursula von der Leyen as the presidential candidates for the European Central Bank ((ECB)) and European Commission, respectively, sends three subtle but important messages to financial markets: 1) Continuity. Other candidates,...

By Raju Huidrom, Economist, Emerging Economies Division, European Department of the IMF; Carlos Mulas-Granados, Senior Economist, European Department of the IMF; Laura Papi, Assistant Director, Asia and Pacific Department of the IMF, heading the South Asia division; and Emil Stavrev, Deputy D...

David Beckworth : Our guest today is Jeffry Frieden. Jeff is a professor of government at Harvard University, where he specializes in the politics of international monetary and financial relations. Jeff is the author of many articles and books, including *Currency Politics: The Political Econ...

By David Zahn, CFA, FRM, Head of European Fixed Income, Senior Vice President, Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group® Christine Lagarde may have emerged as a surprise candidate to take the helm of the European Central Bank (ECB), but David Zahn, our Head of European Fixed Income, see...

It is a "War," of sorts. It does not involve armaments or tanks or military armies running over the Continent but it is the third world conflict for the control and domination of Europe. While everyone focuses on the trade wars with America and China, and some focus on what is happening with I...