QLD News and Press, ProShares Ultra QQQ From 11/16/22

Summary After a difficult 2022, cautious optimism may be in order. Here are our thoughts on market risks and opportunities heading into 2023. Through 2022, the market repriced for bad news — the Russian invasion of Ukraine, supply chain woes, stickier headline inflation and...

Summary If the unemployment level in the economy increases, this removes potential demand from the economy; hence, a slowdown or recession may unfold. The unemployment rate is flattening and possibly beginning an uptrend, with both the rate and average now equaling 3.7%. The p...

Summary Why lending has remained strong for U.S. banks even as a recession looms. Does the Fed have to go 'too far – too fast' to tackle inflation? The signals that are causing banks to become more cautious about loan losses. Aggressive rate hikes by t...

Summary The closest thing to a guarantee in finance is the truism that recessions always follow Treasury bond yield inversions. The labor force is no longer expanding and may be shrinking. A recession in which the GDP shrinks by 1% for two quarters while employment remains sta...

Summary The only policy actions that could deter a recession would worsen inflation, thus setting the stage for an even worse downturn sometime in the future. One indicator that covers 54 countries shows that almost all are tightening monetary policy. A good reason to expect a...

Summary Most of the media tends to focus on the results of the 30-stock DJIA, which gives you a distinct happy view that this senior index is up +14.40% from its low point, which is in the mid-range for rallies after a sizable decline. A much larger sample found in the S&P 500...

Summary October started strong and then slid to new lows but managed to rally back toward the month’s end. The current decline in the market has only reversed the extreme extension above the 200-week moving average. We suspect that the risk of a recession in 2023 is sub...

Summary The Fed is going to meet this week and the course of the stock and bond markets, at least for a while, will be determined by what is decided at the FOMC meeting. Household and corporate balance sheets are remarkably liquid. Financials, real estate, and industrials led ...

Summary Money supply growth fell again in September, dropping to a 37-month low. Money supply growth can often be a helpful measure of economic activity, and an indicator of coming recessions. Since January of this year, the Fed has raised the target federal funds rate from .2...

Summary In recent decades, every instance in which the economy contracted two quarters in a row has coincided with a recession. The Fed tends to keep an even closer eye on the 10-year/3-month spread, and even that is now pointing to recession as well. The Fed has temporarily s...