QMJ News and Press, Direxion S&P 500 High minus Low Quality ETF From 09/01/21

After several strong quarters for value stocks, the last few months have seen a sharp reversal in favor of growth. The probability of any particular value stock being a “value trap” in a given year is about 30%. Value stocks are currently trading at a 40% discount to...

In the most recent Labor Department release, nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased 2.3% in the second quarter of 2021, as output increased 7.9% and hours worked grew 5.5%. U.S. corporate profits hit a record high last quarter, despite supply chain disruptions, a labor s...

In his speech on Friday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stressed that inflationary pressures are cooling and getting closer to the Fed’s 2% target rate. Powell also acknowledged that some inflation is a “cause for concern” and implied that higher prices could be more permane...

Readers have to look only at the first decade of the 21st Century, from 2000 to 2009, to realize that “P/E compression” is the hallmark of a secular bear market. Tracking S&P 500 estimates only really would give you a market-timing signal when we would have a “...

Equities wobbled a bit midway through August, but they have since regained their mojo, all but confirming that the bull market in equities remains strong and unchallenged. A reduction in the pace of QE is coming, in both the US and Europe. Indeed, the pace of asset purchases already h...

Stability breeds instability. This steady climb foreshadows a fragility shock. Our caution signs are on yellow. We warned that the summer would be like a rollercoaster, and it has been for most stocks. Is the “back to work” trade coming back to life? We think it may ...

If the unemployment rate is too high for the Fed’s mandate, ending QE might be more effective at solving that problem than continuing it, but I doubt stocks would like it - and that seems to matter to the Fed today. The economy is a multi-faceted, global beast which is controll...

Strategas Investment Strategist Ryan Grabinski dives deep into recent updates to the Baird Market Gauge ("Sentiment" moved to Favorable from Unfavorable) and hints at a few areas to watch over the coming months. The S&P is trading at about 22x forward earnings, which is elevated. ...

S&P 500 EPS is expected to grow 44% in calendar 2021 per the current IBES/Refinitiv numbers, up from an expected 26% as of 4/2/21. The near-term EPS and revenue revisions for Q3 and Q4 ’21 still look positive. 2022 estimated growth rates are starting to shape up as well...

A softening of sentiment indicators comes as rates already sit close to the bottom of their recent range. Positioning might push them lower still, but EUR rates, in particular, are already consistent with more central bank support next year. The belly of the US curve trades cheap,...