RJN News and Press, AB Svensk Ekportkredit ELEMENTS Linked to the Rogers International Commodity Index - Energy Total Return Structured Product From 09/24/22

Summary The energy market has certainly had a very positive year so far. FTSE All World Oil, Gas & Coal is up 20% YTD (to end August), 39% ahead of the broader FTSE All World Equity Index. Looking more broadly across asset classes, whilst energy equities were strong (and less ...

Summary A global recession is likely, with at least slower economic growth virtually certain. The tightening is not a mistake, but in most cases it’s coming too late, which means more economic damage than it had begun earlier. Businesses selling to China can expect lowe...

Summary The clock is ticking for Europe to shield its economy in the current energy crisis. One of the measures being touted is imposing an energy windfall tax on oil and gas profits to help households and businesses survive this upcoming winter season. As Europe plans to redu...

Summary It is not clear what a new market design would look like, but many politicians have called for price caps, albeit in many different forms. The merit order ensures that the cheapest technologies enter the market first but implies that the price is set by the most expensive ...

Summary Although consumers are benefiting from robust labor markets and strong balance sheets, they appear reluctant to buy high-cost durable goods. A key to navigating inflation risk is understanding its relationship with asset class returns. Historically, high-inflation episodes...

Summary As the ”invoicing” currency of the world, when the U.S. dollar appreciates, other currencies essentially depreciate. Rising commodity prices can be a boon for emerging economies – including oil exporters Brazil, Mexico and Russia – that rely on ...

Summary The consensus expectation on Tuesday for August CPI was for a 0.1% decline, but the positive +0.1% monthly gain in the CPI shocked Wall Street. This inflation news spooked Treasury bond yields, pushing 10-year yields up from 3.36% on Monday to 3.42% on Tuesday. Now tha...

Summary OPEC output increased by 618 kb/d in August after being revised higher in July 2022 by 37 kb/d and June 2022 output was revised up by 5 kb/d compared to last month’s MOMR. For the ordinary least squares trend for the October 2021 to August 2022 period for OPEC crude...

Summary The first half of the year saw GDP contract slightly and GDI expand slightly, and I interpret that as little to no growth. The money market futures I follow and the market based models I track all put the peak in rates somewhere between March and June of next year. I d...

Summary Core CPI, excludes food and energy, rose from July's year-over-year reading of 5.9% to a YoY rate of 6.3% in August. FedEx reported dismal earnings on Friday sending the stock down 21%. A large part of the economic data seems to be indicating the economy is slowing. ...