ROAM News and Press, Hartford Multifactor Emerging Markets From 11/16/22

Summary After a difficult 2022, cautious optimism may be in order. Here are our thoughts on market risks and opportunities heading into 2023. Through 2022, the market repriced for bad news — the Russian invasion of Ukraine, supply chain woes, stickier headline inflation and...

Summary The acceleration of innovation in emerging markets provides reasons for confidence in emerging markets long term. Markets in Latin America have been the best performer in emerging markets (EMs) year-to-date, driven by the rise in the energy sector, which has posted double-...

Summary Considering the strategic fundamentals, the MSCI EM index is essentially a bet on the future prospects of Asia’s largest economies. Over the past 30 years, the S&P 500 has returned more than three times as much as the emerging markets index for a US-based invest...

Summary With inflationary pressures and recessionary fears remaining top-of-mind, equity managers see no short-term end to the bumpy ride in markets. One of the key risks cited by equity managers in our third-quarter report is the possibility of inflation remaining stuck at high l...

Summary Investment-grade EM borrowers continue to achieve positive demand. Both the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Emirates NBD enjoyed healthy demand, further confirming the strong investor sentiment towards stronger GCC credits. Nigeria's debt stress should not currently requir...

Summary Global economic output contracted for a second straight month in September, adding to signs that businesses around the world are reporting the toughest conditions outside of pandemic lockdowns since the global financial crisis. Manufacturing is being hit by rising prices, ...

Summary Over the last two weeks Federal Reserve officials delivered 37 speeches, all of the speakers competing to see who could be the most hawkish. The big problem with the Fed’s plan to kill inflation by reducing economic growth and raising the unemployment rate is that t...

Summary Slower global growth, a strong US dollar, global supply chain woes as well as domestic economic factors have created headwinds for EMs. The week-long National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (Congress) begins on October 16. Jair Bolsonaro, the incumbent preside...

Summary Equity market volatility persisted in the third quarter as investors came to terms with a new reality of high inflation and rising interest rates. For most of this year, equity markets have violently traded on this unholy trinity of rising inflation, rate hikes and growth ...

Summary Elevated inflation, currencies, slowing global economic growth expectations, and reduced central bank liquidity remain key economic considerations. Volatility measured by the VIX spiked in September after declining in August. This wall of worry is real, but it is impor...