RWM News and Press, ProShares Short Russell2000 From 10/24/22

Summary The recession we see from Federal Reserve rate hikes eclipses any impact from U.S. midterm elections. We stay underweight developed market (DM) stocks. Yields rose and stocks rallied off lows as markets mulled the scope of central bank rate hikes amid a “whatever it...

Summary Why we may be facing a calamitous recession vs a run-of-the-mill one. The Fed's next move on rates may be more important than others. Is it time to start reflecting on the impact rates are having on the real economy? The U.S. Federal Reserve has been ...

Summary “Recession Fatigue” is setting in as consumers struggle under rising interest rates, high inflation, and a declining stock market. With unemployment rates at record lows, jobless claims at historically low levels, and consumer spending still above trend, an o...

Summary U.S. economy shrank in two consecutive quarters earlier in 2022. Recession Probability Track visually illustrates how that probability changes over time. CEOs or professional forecasters are giving much higher odds of a recession taking hold in the next 12 months than ...

Summary Shares outstanding of RWM are at record levels. Historically, rapid increases in the number of shares outstanding of RWM occur at major market bottoms. Dollar assets in RWM are now higher than the March 2020 bear market bottom. This acts like a contrary opinion indicator. ...

Summary The ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard is a group of 12 variables that have historically foreshadowed an upcoming recession. The Fed does not want to repeat the mistakes of not only the soft-landing scenario of 1966, but also the start-stop dynamic that was endured durin...

Summary Are October rallies just bear traps in disguise? When will we see a turn in inflation? How to navigate bear markets. September was a brutal month for equities. Could markets strengthen this fall or are rallies just bear traps in disguise? Kim Parlee t...

Summary What lessons can we learn from this postwar history of recessions? Recessions in the modern era are not just the product of natural economic cycles, but also of the latent systemic pressures that exist in a highly interlinked and mutually dependent global capital market. ...

Summary Markets seesaw on conflicting economic signals. Is a recession possible in the U.S. in the next 12 months? Q3 earnings season outlook. On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Chief Investment Strategist for North America, Paul Eitelman, and Sophie Ant...

Summary The Bureau of Economic Analysis weighed in on the discussion yet again last week with the release of the Third Estimate for Q2 2022 real GDP. According to the BEA, GDI is defined as a measure of the incomes earned and the costs incurred in the production of gross domestic ...