RWM News and Press, ProShares Short Russell2000 From 07/14/22

The ClearBridge Recession Risk dashboard is a group of 12 variables that identify inflection points for the US economy. The risks of recession are continuing to elevate. In the middle of last month, we updated our recession odds to 55% over the next 18 months. The key question for...

One perspective on Real GDP growth is simply aggregate hours worked X the output per hour worked. Aggregate hours worked in the economy is peaking, per capita has already peaked. The other variable, output per hour, is going to continue to fall on account of higher input costs. ...

The Federal Reserve has hardly covered itself in glory by having failed to anticipate recent major turning points in the US economy. The Fed again appears poised to miss yet another major economic turning point. By failing to heed the clear warning signs that we are headed for a r...

The core rate of U.S. inflation on both the consumer and wholesale level has been steadily declining since March. In light of the Supreme Court’s recent decision to curb the EPA’s power, the SEC’s new climate disclosures are expected to be aggressively challenged ...

Recession risk is rising, which inevitably leads to a discussion and debate about what exactly defines such an event. NBER is widely admired as the gold standard for identifying the start and end dates of US economic contractions. We can look (slightly) ahead to the immediate futu...

Bear markets result from market transactions based on investment outlooks which are sometimes wrong. Most often bear markets lead to recessions, but not always. Nothing very good or bad came to investors’ attention from the news last week. The news about employment, inflation, ...

The employment report released last Friday was better than expected, but the response by bulls and bears alike was exactly as expected. The employment report was indeed better than expected, the gain of 372k jobs well in excess of expectations of 240k. The bulls were quick to poin...

Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method.  This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This report optimizes tradi...

The revised long-term outlook projects an annualized return of 4.9%. The current risk premium forecast for GMI suggests that multi-asset-class strategies overall will generate lower returns relative to results posted in recent years. Combining forecasts via several models may prov...

A recession is not defined as two consecutive quarters of declining real GDP, though that’s a common rule of thumb. Real GDP dropped 1,6% in the first quarter of 2022. Second quarter estimates will be released in late July, with revisions in August and September as more data be...