RYE News and Press, Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Energy From 03/09/22

With Russia’s invasion of Ukraine into its second week, the economic fallout is gradually coming into focus. In our view, it is highly likely that economic growth will slow in the US and globally, but less so in the U.S. We expect market volatility to remain elevated for an...

The sanctions against Russia, as understandable as they may be, are likely to backfire in the eurozone due to their large trade relationship with the Russian Federation. It would be a while before Europe can get alternative natural gas supplies, so this price spike can go higher. ...

We see developed market (DM) government bonds as ineffective portfolio diversifiers and favor inflation-linked bonds in this inflationary environment. Energy prices surged on further supply concerns. Equities slid, with Europe harder hit than the U.S. Bond yields fell on reduced rate ...

The Russian invasion of Ukraine has created significant uncertainty for the cycle outlook. The global economy was on track for strongly above-trend growth in 2022. The war in Ukraine will likely have a negative impact on growth and cause higher inflation this year, with Europe tak...

Almost every commodity rose in prices last week, as did the dollar. Those two factors - rising dollar and rising commodity prices - mean the likelihood of recession in the coming year has risen significantly in just the last week. There was considerable volatility in stocks last week,...

Emerging Markets are outperforming the rest of the world, due in large part to windfall profits in the commodities-exporting countries of South America and the Middle East. If you want to follow the money, this is a good place to start. Money has been flowing out of tech, consumer dis...

US oil data from US Energy Information Administration for the week ending February 25th indicated that after a big jump in our oil exports and a drop in our oil imports, we had to pull oil out of our stored commercial crude supplies for the tenth time in 14 weeks and for the 26th time in ...

The exploration history in the SW Barents Sea involves more than 130 exploration wells drilled since 1980, which led to 37 discoveries. Overall, the industry's exploration interest in this area is undeniable, however, it is thought that there is more reluctance to provide approval for...

Russian debt, both hard currency and local currency, is largely shut down for trading. Prices for Russian government securities are pricing in a default scenario. The markets have dramatically repriced central bank expectations. For further details see: Russia Sanctions ...

The war in Ukraine could dampen the pace of the recovery in the eurozone, while inflation is likely to be close to 4% for the year. The European Central Bank will have more trouble navigating through the storm, though we still expect an end to quantitative easing in the third quarter ...