SCHE News and Press, Schwab Emerging Markets Equity From 02/16/23

Summary Stocks have posted solid gains since they started to recover from last year’s painful crash. Policy trends that drive currency moves and macroeconomic growth differ around the world. Disciplined stock selection can help investors achieve effective global diversificati...

Summary In this post, I will focus on trend lines in profitability at companies in 2022, with the intent of addressing multiple questions. While absolute profits are a useful measure of profitability, you have to scale profits to a common scaling variable, to compare companies of differ...

Summary China’s economic reopening is proceeding swiftly, despite the spike in COVID-19 cases in early January. January witnessed a dramatic shift in the performance of growth stocks, with the MSCI Emerging Markets Growth Index posting double-digit returns. Consensus expectat...

Summary SCHE’s portfolio is less risky, due to high level of diversification, low expense ratio, lower volatility, and investing in right sectors in the most promising EMs. SCHE has been paying low but decent yields. Lower risk and potential growth of equities in emerging markets...

Summary In 2021 and 2022, emerging-market (EM) stocks underperformed developed market equities. Despite EM’s subsequent outperformance of 12.5% since then (October 31, 2022, through January 31, 2023) our quant scores remain strongly positive for EM stocks. Meanwhile, in funda...

Summary We see central banks stumbling into a more nuanced phase of the inflation fight and nearing a pause on hikes. We like short-term bonds and credit for income. U.S. stocks rose but trimmed gains and Treasury yields jumped after U.S. jobs data showed a tight labor market, reviving ...

Summary Despite softer economic conditions globally, emerging markets (EM) credit fundamentals remain supportive—and while we see some pockets of weakness, especially among energy- and food-importing countries, overall we believe EM debt is well positioned to withstand a period of we...

Summary In the past, one of the biggest attractions of EM equities was a stronger macroeconomic growth backdrop than that of developed countries. We’re also seeing signals of declining inflation across various EM countries, including India and Brazil. Investors are understand...

Summary In our view, the balance of demand and supply factors should support oil prices in 2023. Most EM banking systems look better positioned in terms of capital than they were during the Global Financial Crisis. All things considered, we continue to believe that current valuation...

Summary Emerging markets have weathered tightening financial conditions. We now see a relatively good backdrop for EM assets as EM rates peak and China reopens. Stocks added to gains and bond yields fell as markets priced in Federal Reserve rate cuts later in 2023. We don’t think...