SCHP News and Press, Schwab U.S. TIPs From 04/25/22

The recent rise in inflation has been top of mind for income investors. In this article, we take a look at some of the things investors ought to consider if they decide to hedge their inflation exposure. And take a look at the different instruments at the investor disposal. ...

If China were to continue to pursue a Zero Covid policy amidst rising case counts, supply chains originating in Asia could get shut down again. On the food front, wheat is particularly vulnerable to a prolonged conflict, which has been reflected in the performance of wheat futures. ...

Over the past 20 years, seniors, who only wanted to put their savings in a government bond that could sustain their income needs, were faced with decreasing income. Early last year in 2021, the U.S. Government I Bond interest rate increased to 3.54%. Be aware that if the economy t...

Over the past weeks, gold prices showed a remarkable resilience to the relentless rise in both nominal and real-interest rates. Gold prices were $1,829/ozt by the end of December 2021, when TIPS yields were -1.1%. Gold is pricing in slightly higher long term inflation expectations...

Does the yield curve inversion cause a recession or does it just provide a signal? Is the inversion only about expected future monetary policy? Do other factors also influence the shape of the curve, and if so, can we disentangle the various factors? There is a lot that we don’...

Russia’s President Vladimir Putin has fully miscalculated the West’s response to his invasion of Ukraine. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) looks to have underestimated the underlying price pressures that have accumulated in the US economy. The developing new world order ...

On November 9, 2021, I launched the ETF Reliable Retirement Portfolio. Working from various 2022 investment outlooks as well as other research material, I constructed a 16-ETF portfolio that seeks to balance diversity, growth, and current income. As alluded to in my title, it is n...

The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index ticked slightly higher in March to an annualized 5.8% pace, fractionally above last month’s estimate. Using short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors (defined below) to adjust the forecast trims GMI&#...

As the US Treasury curve approaches the point of inversion—where shorter-term yields are higher than longer-term ones—investors are taking notice. Historically, an inverted yield curve has portended a recession and weak financial markets. Given much higher yields and...

Follow the Money is a series of brief, information-rich posts that I will publish periodically but not on a fixed schedule. After rallying for 9 of the last 11 days, the S&P 500 went from down -13% to down just -3.4%. Growth has been hit hard by the slide in tech stocks this y...