SCHQ News and Press, Schwab Long-Term U.S. Treasury ETF From 04/09/24

2024-04-09 06:00:00 ET Summary During the March FOMC meeting, the Committee held its target rate range constant at 5.25-5.5% and released a new Summary of Economic Projections, which reaffirmed that it expected to make three rate cuts in 2024. Since that meeting, it appears that t...

2024-04-09 03:30:00 ET Summary The consensus outlook is still projecting that the Federal Reserve will trim its target interest rate by the end of the year. As economic growth endures and energy prices rise, market sentiment is pricing in fewer cuts. Some analysts are now sayi...

2024-04-09 01:11:00 ET Summary The glories of high-frequency trading were on full display last Thursday as the S&P 500 turned a 1% gain into a 1.2% loss for the day. It was all about the noise - the potential for a good jobs number being bad news for the prospects of a rate cu...

2024-04-08 15:00:00 ET Summary The bond market outlook has improved as expected rate cuts align more closely with the Fed. Easing financial conditions from asset price changes may lead to continued uncertainty around policy restrictiveness, undermining the urgency and need for pol...

2024-04-08 09:00:00 ET Summary Looking forward, our base case is that the Fed engineers a soft landing and starts to normalize policy rates in the second half of the year. In recent quarters, large-cap technology has outperformed in both higher and lower rate regimes. The weig...

2024-04-06 02:30:00 ET Summary We think the Fed peaked in July 2023. Technically, we won’t know for sure until they cut. But, had a Martian alien landed on Earth and simply eyeballed the current movement of the 10yr yield, they’d likely conclude that the Fed had not ...

2024-04-06 01:35:00 ET Summary As diligently as everyone is looking for signs of a consumer slowdown, the numbers keep telling us that household spending continues apace. The labor market is not showing signs of slowing. Friday’s report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics s...

2024-04-05 08:25:00 ET Summary By January 2025, the Federal Reserve  is likely to be in an easing cycle, which may benefit the market regardless of who wins the election. A recent quote from Fed Chair Jerome Powell about the Fed, inflation, and confidence was music to my ears...

2024-04-05 07:05:00 ET Summary Every firm is expecting rate cuts anticipating a recession but there is no recession in sight. Employment has been rising with some believing the numbers are manipulated because they believed the PMI was literally screaming recession. Expectation...

2024-04-04 08:45:00 ET Summary The fundamental outlook for bonds remains questionable at best. The leading indicators of growth and inflation for 2024 suggest both dynamics could put upside pressure on yields. Sentiment toward bonds remains bullish as the consensus is for yiel...