SCHX News and Press, Schwab U.S. Large-Cap From 07/03/23

2023-07-03 23:05:00 ET Summary Over many economic regimes, U.S. equities have reliably converted risk into return, especially when held for extended periods. Falling but elevated inflation has created a disconnect between nominal earnings and the real economy. The depletion of...

2023-06-29 23:40:00 ET Summary The world is not going through a replay of the 1970s, as there are some critical differences between the current situation and the situation back then. However, this decade’s macroeconomic path probably will have a lot more in common with the ...

2023-06-29 12:20:00 ET Summary Market performance has been driven by a handful of stocks, which signals that near-term improvement in economic growth is not expected. It’s hard to imagine that today’s elevated shelter prices are sustainable, so I’m not convinc...

2023-06-26 20:32:00 ET Summary One factor driving the recession talk is the Federal Reserve's higher interest rate push in an effort to lower the rate of inflation. With the stimulus dollars held in savings, consumers eventually began to get comfortable with spending and have been...

2023-06-26 08:00:00 ET Summary Inflation remains stubbornly high, rate hikes are not over and the long, 40-year downtrend in interest rates is over. The Fed’s rate hikes have impacted housing more than any other sector of the economy, in expected ways and in some unexpected...

2023-06-23 07:30:00 ET Summary The monetary liquidity in the economy still runs very high as a percentage of GDP. Given the massive increase in activity due to a shuttered economy and massive fiscal stimulus, the reversion may take longer than normal. While the economy has cor...

2023-06-22 12:58:00 ET Summary How a recession could impact different asset classes. Why a recovery may be more U shaped than V shaped. Equity markets may not be telling the whole investor sentiment story. The S&P 500 entered bull market territory recentl...

2023-06-22 03:11:00 ET Summary The new Powell arithmetic: The Fed and the rates market believe that policy is restrictive. But uncertainty remains as the Fed signaled additional hikes and bond markets have priced in a higher probability of additional “insurance” hikes be...

2023-06-20 21:05:00 ET Summary Two weeks in a row, jobless claims have been elevated, affecting the four-week moving average. These indicators have not been as high since late 2021 and early 2022. Economic indicators geared towards manufacturing show a recession in that part of th...

2023-06-20 14:19:00 ET Summary The latest rebound in equity prices has pulled the S&P 500 and Canada’s TSX back to levels seen two years ago in June/July 2021. In the real economy, Canada’s Producer Price Index (PPI) for May contracted 6.3% year-over-year and the...