SCHX News and Press, Schwab U.S. Large-Cap From 09/15/23

2023-09-15 08:15:00 ET Summary The US economy is showing progress in addressing inflation, but the Federal Reserve is likely to maintain a "higher for longer" policy. Weakness in the labor market and signs of a rebalancing may give the Fed comfort in cooling the economy and return...

2023-09-13 21:34:00 ET Summary With 525 basis points' worth of cumulative Federal Reserve rate hikes in the books, the U.S. economy may still not be completely out of the woods. While real GDP has been enjoying growth of around 2%, GDI has either been negative or just barely posit...

2023-09-13 13:00:00 ET Summary Some analysts who favor one or two indicators to forecast US recessions have had a rough year. For now, the probability that a recession has started, or is about to start, remains low, based on another indicator featured in The US Business Cycle Risk...

2023-09-12 14:00:00 ET Summary Unemployment rises during recessions, but not as much as we seem to fear. The average time spent unemployed increased by less than one week during recessions. Mortgage delinquencies rise in recession by less than two percentage points. ...

2023-09-11 20:40:00 ET Summary Data provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) for August of 2023 showed that the US unemployment rate was 3.80%, one of the lowest in 50 years. Wall Street economists predicted a greater than 50% chance of a US recession in the next 12 months...

2023-09-08 08:20:00 ET Summary Economic data has defied recession predictions and surprised analysts with stronger performance than expected. The discussion of the Federal Reserve's need to raise the "neutral rate" has been influenced by upgraded estimates. The divergence of e...

2023-09-06 12:15:00 ET Summary Canada's GDP fell in the 2nd quarter due to decreased activity in housing, construction, and wildfires affecting industries. Recessions are a normal part of economic life and should not be viewed as unusual. During a recession, stock prices may d...

2023-08-17 10:30:00 ET Summary It’s been clear for some time that US recession risk has been sliding in recent months. It may turn out that Q3 data is strengthening, but that’s still a dicey proposition. For the moment, Fed funds futures are still pricing in high...

2023-08-17 04:54:00 ET Summary Any equity market pullback will likely be brief due to the short and shallow nature of the expected U.S. recession, and the subsequent swift recovery will demand an agile and proactive response from investors. A substantial amount of corporate bonds ...

2023-08-15 21:41:00 ET Summary The U.S. equity market in 2023 has been driven by the disproportionate outperformance of large cap, growth, and technology-oriented stocks, leading to a significant concentration of market returns. The Large-Cap Growth and technology-oriented segment...