SCHX News and Press, Schwab U.S. Large-Cap From 10/05/21

We view the U.S. Treasury yield spike as resolving a disconnect between the powerful restart and lower yields in recent months, and stay tactically pro-risk. U.S. 10-year yields jumped to the highest level in three months. Markets are prone to volatility, but ultimately we see yields ...

Most of the market “data” everyone obsesses about is just noise, especially when it comes to economic data. We just finished another quarter during which a lot of things were supposedly newsworthy but somehow produced almost nothing in the way of major market movements. ...

Global Market Index is useful as a starting point for research on asset allocation and portfolio design. Predictions for the market components are subject to greater uncertainty compared with aggregating forecasts, a process that may cancel out some of the errors through time. Com...

Global Private Equity is in the lead, up 19.7% after its 2020 gain of 12.5%. Emerging Markets are the laggard with a YTD gain of just 1.5%. Commodities have come on strong this year after losing -7.8% last year. US REITs have rebounded strongly from last year's -4.7% decline. High...

The data shows that nearly 40% of the time, two months of positive performance gets followed by at least one month of negative performance. The demand for performance above what is required to reach our goals requires an exponential increase in risk. Over the next decade, there is...

The summer saw some reversal of the “reflation trade,” a strong uptrend by economically sensitive stocks that kicked off with vaccine announcements last November. Fears centered on the Delta variant and its potential economic impacts. Concerns that earnings, valuations a...

Too many investors retain a negative bias of the market because of news or fundamentals upon which they solely focus. The market has struck an important support region. As long as this support holds, I am looking next to the 4900-5000SPX region. For further details see: ...

Risks to US economic recovery are growing as inflation pressures intensify. The German election was won narrowly by the SPD, as expected, but coalition talks will take some time. Key for the UK at the moment is interest rate expectations with the market’s pricing in three b...

In the short term, interest rates aren't the "issue", Washington D.C. is the "issue". China’s energy crunch may spark the next global supply chain issue. The third quarter is history and the 2021 rally is now at a crossroads. Global economic data remains resilient. ...

Debt ceiling standoff continues in Washington, D.C. Are energy prices partly to blame for the jump in U.S. government bond yields? The traffic-light coalition: The next leaders of Germany’s government? For further details see: 3 Potential Factors Behind The Rise I...