SDS News and Press, ProShares UltraShort S&P500 From 03/09/23

2023-03-09 03:17:00 ET Summary Put in a logical sequence, dividends should be the last step in the business sequence, since they represent residual cash flows. The most intuitive way to think about potential dividends is to think of it as the cash flow left over after every concei...

2023-03-08 22:05:00 ET Summary Over the past couple of sessions as the market has awaited Fed Chair Powell’s testimony, the S&P 500 has not seen particularly large gaps at the open. The moves in the past couple of sessions have essentially been the opposite of what is h...

2023-03-08 10:00:00 ET Summary US recession risk is high, unless it’s not. Forecasting is hard, but almost every effort to project data benefits by combining estimates from several models. The Composite Recession Probability Index has yet to signal a high-probability es...

2023-03-07 22:53:00 ET Summary Fed Chair Powell’s testimony on Capitol Hill over the next couple of days will be the main focus of the market. Hawkish commentary generally tends to be received poorly by the market with the S&P falling an average of 7.5 bps on those days...

2023-03-07 03:47:00 ET Summary The S&P 500 recovered a large portion of the ground in lost in the trading week ending on 3 March 2023. The CME Group's FedWatch Tool continued to project three consecutive quarter-point rate hikes at the Fed's upcoming 22 March, 3 May and 14 Jun...

2023-03-06 04:15:00 ET Summary The Q4 2023 S&P 500 EPS growth is still reflecting 10% y.y, and it has not been revised down even though Q1 and Q2 ’23 EPS estimates continue to be revised lower. The Friday, March 10th, 2023 nonfarm payroll report is expecting +210,000 &#...

Summary Stronger economic indicators released over the past month suggest that the economy started the year off solidly with no recession in the near term. After a couple of weak months, consumer spending jumped for January. Continued modestly above-trend economic growth is occurrin...

Summary US economic activity looks strong or weak, depending on the data sets you choose to craft a narrative. Job postings on Indeed.com, a jobs platform, suggest that the recent strength in the labor market is reversing and that rise in job openings will continue to reverse. The u...

Summary The beginning of the year always offers a chance to catch up with a broad range of clients who are in the mode of thinking about the big picture outlook: pension funds, insurers, consultants and sovereign wealth funds across Australia, Asia, Europe and North America. This note r...

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