SDS News and Press, ProShares UltraShort S&P500 From 05/08/23

2023-05-08 09:05:00 ET Summary The increase in the Q1 ’23 S&P 500 EPS estimate since 3/31/23 shows a big jump and reflects an “upside surprise”. There has been an improvement in “expected 2023” sector growth rates: Consumer Discretionary has ...

2023-05-07 04:05:00 ET Summary Whenever the dominant investment narrative shifts, asset correlations tend to change as well. Conditions shifted abruptly with the Silicon Valley Bank failure. Suddenly, inflation seemed less of a threat and investor fears pivoted back towards recess...

2023-05-05 15:07:00 ET Summary With inflation still elevated and the labor market still “extraordinarily tight,” Fed chair Jerome Powell has kept the door slightly ajar for another hike. Markets had almost fully priced in a 25 bps rate increase, so the May 3rd decisi...

2023-05-04 15:47:00 ET Summary Why U.S. bank earnings suggest a modest recession? Potential impact of regional bank failures on the broader markets. When it comes to market uncertainty, is reality actually better than perception? The latest U.S. earnings seas...

2023-05-03 21:35:00 ET Summary With today’s 25-basis-point rate increase, the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has now hiked rates by a cumulative 500 basis points since March of 2022. Whether the Fed hikes rates again in June or goes on pause will likely depend on the labor mark...

2023-05-02 20:47:03 ET Summary The Leading Economy moved into recession last year. The Cyclical Economy is entering recession now. The Total Economy will not be immune from recession. A look at historical lead and lag times and what happens next. The US economy has b...

2023-05-02 02:20:00 ET Summary Better-than-expected results in big tech lifts S&P 500 EPS growth for Q1 2023, now set to come in at -3.7%. Potential earnings surprises this week: Marriott International. Names to watch during the second peak week: AAPL, SBUX, BUD, AMD, UBER...

2023-05-02 01:25:00 ET Summary Interest rates continue to drive markets, with central banks walking a fine line between taming inflation and avoiding recession. The Fed isn’t quite finished with the tightening cycle yet, even as the market remains optimistic that rates will...

2023-05-01 13:10:00 ET Summary It appears the recession is right around the corner. As the recession begins, the yield curves will begin to steepen. The 2s10s have started but the 3m10s has not budged. The market can stay irrational for a long time, but in addition, this is th...

2023-05-01 12:07:00 ET Summary Last week’s GDP report was not some kind of near miss, something that could be interpreted as negative if you just squint and employ a little confirmation bias. Real estate had another up week and continues its recovery. There are certainly so...