SFLA News and Press, Barclays Bank PLC From 07/05/21

With all the talk about inflation expectations, central bank policy, rising Treasury yields and fiscal policies, equity investors are trying to make sense of the market by focusing on the interest rate sensitivity of valuations and the tug of war between growth stocks and value stocks. ...

The first signs of inflation have bubbled up in the market. It is unclear if inflation will be sustainable, but the risks of entering a new inflationary regime need to be considered. Many see a return to the pre-COVID environment of secular stagnation. But a breakout to higher inflati...

The potential for higher U.S. taxes, coupled with regulatory risks and shifting growth momentum, tempers our near-term enthusiasm for U.S. equities. Euro area business activity surged in June as the region catches up on the restart that has been led by the U.S. and UK. Investors w...

The Fed's minions sold the message last week that the surge of inflation is mostly transitory and won't require the Fed to start boosting U.S. short-term interest rates before 2024. That message seemed to take hold among investors, with the S&P 500 returning to record high levels ...

On a price-only basis, the S&P 500 Index is up over 91% since the March 23, 2020 low. Nearly halfway through 2021 and the S&P 500 Index is up a strong 14%. Additionally, when evaluating investor sentiment and equity fund flows, it does not appear investors are all-in on stocks...

The American economy is roaring ahead. There are 3 rivers of money pouring into it. It is worth noting now just where all of this new stimulus money will be spent. My advice is just to hop on and enjoy the ride. Sure, it will end someday, but not today and not for the foreseeable futu...

Two key historic characteristics of the stock market: It works to confuse and confound the maximum number of people most of the time, while providing excellent long-term returns. So-called “hawkish” commentary by the Fed is credited with sending stocks into a tailspin, w...

Fed officials embraced higher 2021 inflation as contributing to their medium-term policy objective, opening the door to a 2023 lift-off. We see this shift as consistent with the Fed’s new framework, implying a much more muted response to inflation and supporting risk assets. ...

A summary of market-moving headlines in the third week of June 2021. We had two big Federal Reserve driven events during the last week. We think the Fed's actions will have investors mostly focused on what will happen at the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting near the end of 2021-...

The market this summer is shaping up to be what we predicted - like a rollercoaster. Up, down, all around - you end up back where you started, and it probably cost you money. We stated several weeks ago that the inflation trend was getting long in the tooth, as investors were crowded ...