SFY News and Press, SoFi Select 500 From 06/07/21

This has been a run in stocks from the March lows, all while without even really experiencing the usually recession beforehand. That run has been coupled with record revisions of earning forecasts, setting us up for what would seem to be an inevitable fall. However, markets can trend ...

Over the last few weeks, we discussed the ongoing “buy signals” suggesting the market could retest all-time highs. That occurred this week. While the markets could undoubtedly break out to new highs next week, the upside remains limited. Such is due to the weekly signal,...

We got another disappointing employment report last week. The US economy added 559,000 jobs in May, which was below expectations and disappointing. There are certainly remaining supply-side issues in the economy, which is what we should expect in a recovery from a supply shock. The pr...

The Global Market Index’s (GMI) expected risk premium held steady at 5.9% annualized in May, matching the previous month’s estimate. The framework for estimating equilibrium returns was initially outlined in a 1974 paper by Professor Bill Sharpe. Keep in mind, too, t...

Trading by calendar rules - or any other form of market timing - tends to be a loser’s game. The month of May has historically been flat for stocks, and this May was no exception. The S&P 500 rose just 0.47% this May. Although the Dow rose 1.93%, Nasdaq fell -1.53%, so May ...

The major asset classes delivered across-the-board gains for a second month in a row in May. Everything apart from cash was up last month, led by a sizzling rally in foreign inflation-linked government bonds. The FTSE Russell World Inflation Index ex-US surged 4.0% last month, the...

The Fed has not changed its messaging since the pandemic hit. But the GDP is at 10%, and inflation's latest data annualized is also at 10%. Uh, you think it's time for a change? The repo market may force the Fed's hand. The Fed has lost control with the huge demand to borrow from ...

New orders for durable goods fell in April, decreasing 1.3 percent, following a run of 11 consecutive gains. Total durable goods orders are up 32.2 percent from a year ago. New orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft or core capital goods, a proxy for business equipment...

After Britain rejected Yellen’s call for a 21% minimum tax rate, the Treasury Department on Thursday officially proposed a radically lower global minimum corporate tax of 15%. Last week was a big week for housing statistics. Availability is tight, so the volume of sales is decl...

The market focus is on the restart and inflation - and less on geopolitical risks - yet, it’s worth watching specific risks, as flareups could catch investors off guard. Inflation expectations eased on lower oil and commodity prices. We expect volatile near-term data amid pent-...