SPHB News and Press, Invesco S&P 500 High Beta From 02/13/23

Summary Economic news has caused market participants to be looking the wrong way over these last 5 months. While news reports can act as a catalyst for market moves, the substance of the news is often unimportant in determining a directional bias. As long as highlighted support hold...

Summary The 5-year Treasury yield jumped 27 bps last week, from 3.66% the prior week to close, to 3.93% at this Friday’s close. This is after falling 30 bps in the first week of January ’23. The “estimated” S&P 500 earnings growth for 2023 (as a whole) ha...

Summary Instead of bullish investors sticking with their mantra of 'Don’t Fight The Fed,' it is now a standoff between bullish investors and the Fed. While bullish investors cling to historical statistics about market returns, the problem is the Fed remains clear that it will not...

Summary From its all-time high of 4,973, the S&P 500 has now fallen 23% (as at January 1st), so the US large-cap index is still in a bear market. Over the last 100 years, the S&P 500’s CAPE has almost never gone outside the range of half to double its long-term average. ...

Summary This year’s rebound in asset prices around the world suggests that investor sentiment is shifting to risk-on after a year of playing defense. Trying to divine the future for pricing is always precarious, especially in the near term. Certain slices of markets are predi...

Summary This month, the Bureau of Labor announced significant revisions and is why tracking the trend is more valuable for economic insight than any single report. The tone in the media is shifting from extreme pessimism to “my god, it’s far better than we thought”....

Summary One of the key assumptions behind commodity markets is that it is economic demand that drives pricing. It has been long-conflated that sentiment drives economic activity and that certain correlated indicators are believed to be economic measures and good predictors of future eco...

Summary The US stock market rally this year continues to be led by so-called high-beta stocks, which are outperforming the broad market by a wide margin, based on a set of proxy ETFs through Monday’s (Feb 6) close. The iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF is up 13.9%, a solid ...

Summary S&P 500 blended EPS growth for Q4 continues to fall, now expected to come in at -5.3%. Peak earnings season rolls on this week with 1,447 global companies expected to report. Potential surprises this week: PYPL, HLT. Another week, another tick down for Q4 S&...

Summary The trajectory of the S&P 500 shifted downward to close the week at 4,136.48, still up from the previous week's close. The week also saw continued improvement in the expectations for the S&P 500's quarterly dividends per share during 2023. The FedWatch tool anticipat...