SPIP News and Press, SPDR® Portfolio TIPS ETF From 09/19/22

Summary Nobody knows how high interest rates have to rise in order to slow and ultimately reverse the recent rise in inflation. Only excess money causes inflation, and there seems to be a lot less of it recently, which is great news. Supply chain bottlenecks are clearing up ra...

Summary The market is telegraphing that what the Fed is planning to do is potentially destructive to the economy. Why does the Fed still think the only way to lower inflation is to undermine the economy? That's Phillips Curve thinking, and it has been debunked countless times. ...

Summary There is abundant evidence that inflation pressures are cooling. I can't emphasize enough that this inflation flare-up was not caused by a Fed policy error: it was caused by the federal government's attempt to soften the blow of Covid lockdowns. Inflation would remain ...

Summary The hot inflation reading for August was a narrative buster for many investors. What are the implications of Tuesday's report for stocks? What are the associated effects for bonds and gold? Well, I woke up Tuesday mornin’ It was supposed to be the late...

Summary Inflation is the wrecker of worlds. It destroys purchasing power, increases the signal-to-noise ratio of prices critical to entrepreneurs and business managers, and distorts accounting records. Depending upon its origins, inflation may also facilitate lavish government spe...

Summary Stocks and bonds and commodities continued to trade and move around in price but there was no news to which those movements could be attributed. Most of what passes for news, the things people credit with moving markets on a day-to-day or week-to-week basis, is nothing mor...

Summary Lots of commentators love I Bonds. A high "teaser" rate today sounds good, but what if inflation gets tamed? Think more about your investment profile and goals before you jump in. When inflation started picking up last year, every blog writer and financial co...

Summary M2 has essentially flat-lined since last January, which was well before the Fed began to take tightening action. This means that the behavior of M2 is obviating the need for the Fed to pursue a typical tightening, which almost always ends with a recession. The issue of...

While lower than expected, headline U.S. inflation at 8.5% still remains well above the Fed’s 2% target. Markets interpreted July’s slower inflation as a signal that the Fed may not need to tighten as much. Has inflation peaked, or will the intense competition over a...

Gold has an inverse correlation to real yields, such that when real yields rise, Gold falls, and vice-versa. The RSI and the MACD are at extreme lows now that are consistent with the beginning of prior rallies in TIPS, i.e., far lower real yields, which typically translates into far h...