SPLX News and Press, ETRACS Monthly Reset 2xLeveraged S&P 500 Total Return ETN From 03/14/23

2023-03-14 00:51:00 ET Summary The Federal Government ran a deficit of -$262B in February. February is typically the biggest deficit month of the year, averaging a deficit of $208B per year for the decade before Covid. Looking at the TTM, the deficit represented 25% of the tot...

2023-03-14 00:42:02 ET Summary What happens when accelerating inflation meets fears of systemic banking risk? There isn't a lot of precedent. In 2008, summer fears over inflation rapidly gave way to banking system fears and rapid deflation after the sudden failure of Lehman Brothe...

2023-03-13 20:55:00 ET Summary The Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank closures over the weekend are the second and third largest US bank failures in history. From last week’s 80% probability of a 50 bps hike on March 22, markets are now pricing a 44% probability of a pa...

2023-03-13 15:35:00 ET Summary One of the themes I’ve been discussing lately is how inflation risk has been evolving into credit risk. The banking bust we’re seeing now was sown during COVID. The COVID boom was the inevitable blow off top of the prior 10-year bull ma...

2023-03-13 14:34:00 ET Summary The month of March is nearly halfway through and volatility has begun to pick up. Whereas the S&P 500 was up around 2% month to date as of this time last week, currently, the index is down over 2.5%. Although historically March might not be t...

2023-03-13 12:40:06 ET Summary Silicon Valley Bank failed late last week as it wasn't able to accommodate customer withdrawal requests. There is now a lot of concern and fear-mongering that this event will lead to a systemic banking crisis. We don't think that happens because ...

2023-03-13 11:47:00 ET Summary Investors in the S&P 500 (SPX) couldn't catch a break during the trading week ending on 10 March 2023. At this time, it's premature to tell if the dividend futures-based model's multiplier has shifted again. The biggest question investor...

2023-03-13 11:20:00 ET Summary Stocks are starting to reflect the economic damage from higher rates - and we see more hikes due to sticky inflation. But expected earnings still look rosy to us. U.S. stocks fell over 4% last week and erased most of their gains for the year, partly ...

2023-03-13 11:00:00 ET Summary Many have gotten quite bearish when following the news. Our analysis of the market over the last week did not take news into account, as we outlined the movements well before it happened. I am still looking for a bottoming structure, which can st...

2023-03-13 09:55:00 ET Summary Absolute “risklessness” does not exist, nor can there be such an asset in an absolute sense. There are known and unknown opportunities to lose all or some value of an asset. It’s likely investors in SVB never considered they were...