SPTL News and Press, SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury From 05/28/24

2024-05-28 04:00:00 ET Summary A recent poll conducted by Harris and the UK news outlet The Guardian produced some interesting results. The reporting on this has been mostly political because the poll also found that 58% blame the Biden administration for the current state of the ...

2024-05-27 14:05:00 ET Summary The Q2 ’24 Atlanta GDP Nowcast is projecting mid 3% GDP for the 2nd quarter, 2024. Friday morning, we get Core PCE data for April ’24, and overall April PCE data is expected at +0.2%, while the April Core PCE data is expected at +0.3%. ...

2024-05-24 09:45:00 ET Summary It is widely known that markets can be influenced by economic data releases that deviate significantly from consensus. We have quantified the impact of economic surprises on the US government bond market for different tenors, as measured by the quint...

2024-05-23 00:20:00 ET Summary Two driving forces are now simultaneously pushing in the direction of higher long-term real interest rates. While investors and commentators often tend to conflate the two, I think it is useful instead to distinguish them clearly. They are rising inv...

2024-05-22 13:30:00 ET Summary Fed policy has a heightened data dependency, leading to increased volatility in the bond market. The UST market’s narrative has shifted toward the possibility of rate cuts, but the Fed does not appear to be in a rush to implement them based on...

2024-05-21 11:30:00 ET Summary When the US Treasury yield curve inverts (short rates rise above long rates) the shift is widely viewed as a reliable forecast that a recession is near. The curve has been inverted since July 2022, the longest inversion on record, but a recession has...

New ETF Provides Cost-Effective, Broad Treasury Exposure to Customize Bond Portfolios State Street Global Advisors, the asset management business of State Street Corporation (NYSE: STT), today announced the launch of the SPDR ® Portfolio Treasury ETF (SPTB) . SPTB further e...

2024-05-20 14:15:00 ET Summary We stay dynamic on a strategic horizon to take advantage of sharp valuation shifts. We go overweight emerging market stocks for the first time since 2020. U.S. stocks hit all-time highs while 10-year yields fell after the CPI data met expectations. W...

2024-05-20 10:50:00 ET Summary Whatever traders and investors were focused on last week, the result was a drop in interest rates across the curve, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping by about 8 basis points. Over the last month, with the 10-year yield down a little over 16 ba...

2024-05-20 02:53:00 ET Summary The US economy grew 3.1% last year, trouncing widespread calls for a recession and exceeding my relatively sober expectation for 2% growth. The correct way to view the interplay between growth and inflation is to first understand that high inflation ...