SPTS News and Press, SPDR Portfolio Short Term Treasury

2024-07-17 05:52:00 ET Summary Markets are now pricing in 48bp of ECB cuts in 2024, just shy of two full 25bp cuts. The rate-cutting narrative building in the US was the main driver of the increase, but in our view, the spillovers will be more limited. The Fed’s Be...

2024-07-17 04:35:00 ET Summary The US economy is still growing (positive GDP) but growth has slowed and signs of weakness are apparent. This should not be a surprise: the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by about 5.5% between Spring of 2022 and Summer of 2023 in an attempt to slo...

2024-07-17 03:40:00 ET Summary While stocks of large US companies have done well over the last few years, stocks of small US companies are negative. Year-to-date, the cap-weighted S&P 500 has returned 3 times the return of the S&P 500 Equal-Weight. Although the S&P...

2024-07-16 10:40:00 ET Summary Improving news on the inflation front will likely spur the Fed to kick off rate cuts earlier than we previously projected. Inflation’s cooling late last year encouraged the market to price in as many as six rate cuts this year. With inflat...

2024-07-16 09:20:00 ET Summary With both economic and inflation data continuing to weaken, expectations of Fed rate cuts are rising. Since January 2022, the market has repeatedly rallied on hopes of Fed cuts and a return to increased monetary accommodation. Given recent histor...

2024-07-16 08:00:00 ET Summary The UST curve steepened on the back of Trump’s assassination attempt, which was deemed likely to increase his chances of a win. The spillovers from a Trump presidency to EUR rates are more muddled. Eurozone rates have been helped down by t...

2024-07-16 07:30:00 ET Summary Velocity of money - the speed at which money flows through the economy is often tied to speculation about the future of inflation. Today, small businesses are suffering the most pain of cost increases since larger enterprises have a lot more ability ...

2024-07-16 02:20:00 ET Summary Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said in his Senate appearance that he was encouraged by evidence of cooler inflation and that more “good data” would help get the Fed to where it wants to be. Powell also said the environment for rate cuts is ...

2024-07-15 14:05:00 ET Summary Ahead of many recessions in US economic history, the yield curve has gone negative - or "inverted." Now that it appears growth could pick back up at the same time the Fed could start cutting rates, we’re seeing the 2-10 spread rise. Past p...

2024-07-15 11:20:00 ET Summary The CPI for June came in lower than expected. Inflation fell 0.1% in June, and for the trailing 12 months it came in at 3.0%. The annual increase for the core CPI rate was the smallest since April 2021. While not yet at the Fed’s 2% long-term ...