SPVM News and Press, Invesco S&P 500 Value with Momentum From 06/26/24

2024-06-26 01:34:12 ET Summary I'm staying invested due to bullish catalysts likely to come in the second half of 2024. I explain why I am not extending my hedges and what risks lie ahead for the index. I also present an alternative to balance these risks. Dear reade...

2024-06-25 15:00:00 ET Summary The economy clearly has slowed since the fourth quarter of 2023. Real GDP growth was only 1.3% in the first quarter of 2024, down from 3.4% in Q4 2023. Despite the slowing economy and lack of signs of a recession, the inflation story has clearly turn...

2024-06-25 14:45:00 ET Summary According to the Congressional Budget Office’s most recent report, at a time of cyclical strength and very low unemployment, the US is running a budget deficit of seven percent of GDP while its public debt-to-GDP ratio is on track to reach an all-...

2024-06-25 14:40:00 ET Summary High inflation and expensive equities lead to a negative risk-return relationship and shrink the equity premium to zero. Given today’s market dynamics, investors should avoid high-volatility stocks or hope for a different outcome than the hist...

2024-06-25 12:50:00 ET Summary Is the breadth of the rally narrowing? Why industrials may be the generals of the current market rally. Market breadth narrowing, but still in a two-year bull market cycle. Is tech the only sector driving the market rally? U.S. mark...

2024-06-25 09:55:00 ET Summary In April 2024, the AIER Business Conditions Monthly Leading Indicator rose back to the expansionary levels where it has lingered since November 2023. The Roughly Coincident Indicator declined to 67, its lowest reading in six months. The Lagging I...

2024-06-25 08:10:00 ET Summary The US labor market may be at an inflection point. The high-flying Nvidia has fallen 13% in the past three sessions coming into today. Gold is little changed near $2333 and its trading in the upper end of yesterday's narrow range. Ove...

2024-06-25 02:40:00 ET Summary The big news last week was that the Commerce Department reported that retail sales rose by only 0.1% in May, below the analysts’ consensus estimate of 0.3%. Like the G7 conference in Italy, the recent Ukrainian peace conference in Switzerland ...

2024-06-25 01:40:00 ET Summary I am beginning to wonder what will happen in a German federal election, due no later than October 2025, if the AfD continues to rise. The German DAX and the French CAC 40 stock market indexes were closely correlated before investors got wind of the p...

2024-06-24 14:05:00 ET Summary While the market has gone up well above expectations in H1 and may be due for a normal pullback or healthy correction, earnings have been stellar, earnings growth well above expectations, and the markets are fully expecting an easing from the Fed, which ...