SRTY News and Press, ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000

Summary The inversion of 80% of the 10 economically important yield curves suggests a recession is likely. While many hope the Federal Reserve will “pivot,” such may not be as immediately “bullish” as many expect. As yields plummet, bond prices rise as in...

Summary Assuming the Fed follows through on hiking the Federal Funds Rate by another 0.5% tomorrow, the probability will resume rising rapidly. There are clearly building levels of distress in several sectors of the U.S. economy. 98% of CEOs surveyed by the Conference Board say they...

Summary Perspective is the number one biggest shortcoming in the coverage of financial and market news. I examine perspectives on inflation, rates and recessions. Lack of perspective stems from two causes: the lack of (or willingness to dig for) historical comparisons, or the&#...

Summary Recession is foretold, in our view, as central banks crush demand to bring down inflation. We think markets are wrong to expect them to later come to the rescue. U.S. stocks fell and the Treasury yield curve inverted its most since the early 1980s. We see recent moves as reflect...

Summary Overall, I think the markets had gotten to peak hawkishness and people were under-positioned because they were expecting a more and more hawkish Fed. This may be the tightest labor market, quite frankly, we’ve seen in five decades. This is the first proper recessionar...

The core rate of U.S. inflation on both the consumer and wholesale level has been steadily declining since March. In light of the Supreme Court’s recent decision to curb the EPA’s power, the SEC’s new climate disclosures are expected to be aggressively challenged ...

Recession risk is rising, which inevitably leads to a discussion and debate about what exactly defines such an event. NBER is widely admired as the gold standard for identifying the start and end dates of US economic contractions. We can look (slightly) ahead to the immediate futu...

Bear markets result from market transactions based on investment outlooks which are sometimes wrong. Most often bear markets lead to recessions, but not always. Nothing very good or bad came to investors’ attention from the news last week. The news about employment, inflation, ...

The employment report released last Friday was better than expected, but the response by bulls and bears alike was exactly as expected. The employment report was indeed better than expected, the gain of 372k jobs well in excess of expectations of 240k. The bulls were quick to poin...

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