STPP News and Press, Barclays Bank PLC ZC SP ILN REDEEM 13/08/2020 USD 50 - Ser A From 05/07/19

The disruption this week is connected with the US-China trade talks that is scaring financial markets throughout the world. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note dropped to 2.45 percent as money poured into the bond market, down from the 2.50 percent close yesterday. This rush to ris...

A few months ago, I wrote part III to this series outlining why interest rates would continue to remain low and most likely continue to fall on the long-end of the curve, confounding consensus opinion as to why interest rates should rise. The consensus opinion on long-term interest rates, ...

Are you a trader or an investor? Ask Warren Buffett, the greatest investor of our lifetime, why he believes in buying and holding as do we unless there is a reason to change course as we did last October. We know many rich investors but few wealthy traders. We understand the virtues of compo...

Three pieces of recent good news for Federal Reserve officials. First, the rate of growth of the US economy rose or remained constant for the twelfth consecutive month , coming in for the first quarter of 2019 at 3.2 percent. Second, the growth rate of labor force productivity came in at...

The BCI at 258.6 is above last week's 257.9, and formed a new high for this business cycle indicated by the BCIp of 100. Also, the 6-month smoothed annualized growth BCIg at 13.7 is above last week’s 12.9. Both BCIp and BCIg are not signaling a recession. (BCIp needs to drop below 25, o...

Oh my! What a difference a few months makes. Originally, what looked like an economic glass half empty in December has turned into a new record glass half full. What looked like Armageddon in December has turned into a v-shaped bed of roses to new all-time record stock market highs for the S&a...

By Collin Martin When the yield curve is flat, as it has been recently, investors often ask us: Why invest in long-term bonds when one can get similar yields with safer, short-term investments like U.S. Treasury bills or money market funds? It's a logical question - after all, the 10-yea...

Why Did Rates Fall On The "Strong" GDP Print? On Friday, the BEA released the Q1 GDP figures which widely beat consensus expectations, rising 3.2% quarter over quarter (QoQ). Under the headline number revealed much weaker results than the top-line "beat" suggested which is why nominal int...

The 10-year Treasury closed at 2.50% on Friday while the 2-year note closed at 2.29%. That's a positive 2-10 spread of 21 basis points. As the classic measure of the slope of the Treasury yield curve, that means it has not yet inverted. It is true that the 10-year Treasury closed below some sh...

At the end of the second quarter of 2019, the US economy will have completed ten years of growth, the longest period of economic expansion since the end of the Second World War. It appears as if the annual compound rate of growth will come out around 2.3 percent. As post-World War II busines...