SVOL News and Press, Simplify Volatility Premium ETF From 11/16/22

Summary The resilience of the labor market means the U.S. is probably not in a true recession. Macroeconomic headwinds do, however, make a mild recession within the next 12 months more likely than not. The market volatility has been one of the contributing factors to investor ...

Summary The VIX and VXN point to continuing higher stock prices. A new Master Sentiment Indicator, a composite made from seven shorter-term sentiment indicators, confirms this view. This, plus high purchase levels in the ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (VIXY), indicate th...

Summary In today's issue of the 1-Minute Market Report, I examine the market bounce since the October low, and highlight the areas of the market that are leading the way higher. On Thursday, for every stock that was down, there were 26 that were up. For the first time since August...

Summary Almost half of the option contracts being traded on the S&P 500, to the tune of $300 billion of notional each day, have one-day expiries or less. Across all listed ETFs and indices, an astounding $1 trillion of notional value in put options (bets that an index or ETF w...

Summary With inflationary pressures and recessionary fears remaining top-of-mind, equity managers see no short-term end to the bumpy ride in markets. One of the key risks cited by equity managers in our third-quarter report is the possibility of inflation remaining stuck at high l...

Summary Active central banks may create attractive opportunities for discretionary macro managers who can take advantage of higher volatility, higher rates and dynamic policy changes. The Russia-Ukraine conflict remains a large overhang across almost the entire commodity complex. ...

Summary The Fed isn’t likely to stop raising rates anytime soon which means cash is starting to become a viable competitor to the increasingly volatile trading in stocks and bonds. Liquidity is now reaching very dangerous levels. The US Ten-Year Note Yield crossed the 4...

Summary Stocks started the week waiting with bated (baited?) breath for the inflation reports of the week. It isn’t surprising that the market is focused firmly on the rearview mirror for clues about the future since Jerome Powell has made it plain that is his plan. Sto...

Summary SVOL ETF generates high distribution yields by shorting VIX Futures. It provides -0.2 to -0.3x VIX exposure while hedging tail events with UVXY calls. With VIX at 33, investors can tactically accumulate shares. I first wrote about the Simplify Volatility Prem...

Summary The VXX ETN gives investors exposure to short-term VIX futures. The VXX was popular among day traders due to it's ability to deliver exceptional returns during market drawdowns. It was also popular as a short-vol vehicle, since its structure meant it perpetually loses ...