TBT News and Press, ProShares UltraShort Lehman 20 Year Treasury From 06/26/24

2024-06-26 09:25:00 ET Summary Rates won’t come down as quickly as some had hoped, according to our CIO, William Davies, but further gains for equities are still possible this year. Heading into the second half of the year, we’re likely to see further divergence in c...

2024-06-26 02:20:00 ET Summary Growth peaked on a quarter over quarter seasonally adjusted annual rate in Q3 last year at 4.9%. One area of uncertainty is the spend rate for the IRA and CHIPs Act. While we believe the current administration will keep spending high through the elec...

2024-06-25 15:00:00 ET Summary The economy clearly has slowed since the fourth quarter of 2023. Real GDP growth was only 1.3% in the first quarter of 2024, down from 3.4% in Q4 2023. Despite the slowing economy and lack of signs of a recession, the inflation story has clearly turn...

2024-06-25 14:50:00 ET Summary The US 10-2yr Treasury yield curve has been inverted (two-year yields higher than ten-year) for 23 months since July 2022. An inversion in this spread has preceded the onset of every recession in the last 50 years by an average of 10 months. Mark...

2024-06-25 07:30:08 ET Summary The Treasury curve was up 3 basis points at 2 years and was up 5 basis points at 10 years over the last week. As a result, the current negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spread narrowed slightly to negative 45 basis points this week compared to negativ...

2024-06-25 02:40:00 ET Summary The big news last week was that the Commerce Department reported that retail sales rose by only 0.1% in May, below the analysts’ consensus estimate of 0.3%. Like the G7 conference in Italy, the recent Ukrainian peace conference in Switzerland ...

2024-06-24 10:16:00 ET Summary The economic environment was unchanged last week, as the 10-year rate and the dollar both rose slightly. Large cap growth stocks and commodities continue to lead on the YTD basis with intermediate-term Treasuries flat, while small-cap stocks and REIT...

2024-06-23 12:30:00 ET Summary While the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank cut interest rates in June, the Federal Reserve decided to keep rates steady. While the European Union is in the throes of political uncertainty, the UK appears to have significant political cert...

2024-06-23 09:49:11 ET Summary The Federal Reserve will likely cut rates later in the year. As cuts near, there are several important rate trends that investors need to be aware of. These include more hawkish positioning from the market, narrower credit spreads, and elevated i...

2024-06-22 23:08:00 ET Summary If the Bank of England’s decision on Thursday to leave interest rates unchanged is a guide, the outlook for the start date for a US rate cut may be further down the line than generally assumed. It’s also striking that UK inflation is we...