TLH News and Press, iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond

2024-07-17 08:30:00 ET Summary Explore key themes from our Secular Outlook, including fiscal policy, geopolitical risks, AI, and upcoming elections, and learn how these factors could shape the future of fixed income markets. 2024 elections obviously can potentially be a disruptor ...

2024-07-17 07:00:00 ET Summary The reordering of US election outcomes led to a bear steepening in US treasuries. The global easing cycle kicked off with the European Central Bank, Bank of Canada, Riksbank, and Swiss National Bank all beginning interest rate cuts. Financial mar...

2024-07-17 05:52:00 ET Summary Markets are now pricing in 48bp of ECB cuts in 2024, just shy of two full 25bp cuts. The rate-cutting narrative building in the US was the main driver of the increase, but in our view, the spillovers will be more limited. The Fed’s Be...

2024-07-17 04:35:00 ET Summary The US economy is still growing (positive GDP) but growth has slowed and signs of weakness are apparent. This should not be a surprise: the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by about 5.5% between Spring of 2022 and Summer of 2023 in an attempt to slo...

2024-07-17 03:40:00 ET Summary While stocks of large US companies have done well over the last few years, stocks of small US companies are negative. Year-to-date, the cap-weighted S&P 500 has returned 3 times the return of the S&P 500 Equal-Weight. Although the S&P...

2024-07-16 10:40:00 ET Summary Improving news on the inflation front will likely spur the Fed to kick off rate cuts earlier than we previously projected. Inflation’s cooling late last year encouraged the market to price in as many as six rate cuts this year. With inflat...

2024-07-16 09:27:56 ET Bank of America said most respondents to its global fund manager survey believe that the Federal Reserve will be able to execute a soft landing, while many participants argued that monetary policy is too restrictive. Additionally, almost half of the surveyed memb...

2024-07-16 09:20:00 ET Summary With both economic and inflation data continuing to weaken, expectations of Fed rate cuts are rising. Since January 2022, the market has repeatedly rallied on hopes of Fed cuts and a return to increased monetary accommodation. Given recent histor...

2024-07-16 08:00:00 ET Summary The UST curve steepened on the back of Trump’s assassination attempt, which was deemed likely to increase his chances of a win. The spillovers from a Trump presidency to EUR rates are more muddled. Eurozone rates have been helped down by t...

2024-07-16 07:30:00 ET Summary Velocity of money - the speed at which money flows through the economy is often tied to speculation about the future of inflation. Today, small businesses are suffering the most pain of cost increases since larger enterprises have a lot more ability ...