TPLC News and Press, Timothy Plan US Large Cap Core From 05/15/24

2024-05-15 02:10:00 ET Summary In June 2022, the Federal Reserve began its program of quantitative tightening (QT) as a complementary policy to conventional interest rate hikes. On May 1, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell announced an important change to the program that seemed to attrac...

2024-05-14 15:10:00 ET Summary Earlier in the day on 5/14, the NFIB published the results of its latest survey of Small Business Optimism. While the optimism index sits in the bottom decile of historical readings, the 1.2 point month-over-month jump ranks in the top quartile of mo...

2024-05-14 13:30:00 ET Summary While there is much debate over whether another bear market is imminent, weekly moving average crossovers suggest a different outcome for now. Understanding that the market tends to lead the economy by six months or more, we can use longer-term marke...

2024-05-14 10:10:00 ET Summary Demographic trends are elevating entitlement spending, and higher spending on infrastructure and other pandemic-era priorities has kept overall government outlays above pre-pandemic levels. Incremental deficit change is what influences growth rates, ...

2024-05-14 10:10:00 ET Summary Q1 earnings season winds down with retail reports over the next few weeks. The post-peak LERI reading came in at 157, showing US CEO uncertainty remains high. Outlier earnings date for the week ahead: Under Armour. This week 1,739 compan...

2024-05-14 06:55:00 ET Summary The tone in the foreign exchange market today is mostly consolidative. The US is set to announce a new set of tariffs on a wide range of Chinese goods later today. The longest rally in Europe's Stoxx 600 since October-November 2021 is being chall...

2024-05-14 03:40:00 ET Summary Three sentiment indicators reflected additional pessimism from the week prior after the PMI came in at 49.1, a PMI recession signal below 50. Investors should use any short-term dips in sentiment as an opportunity to add capital to accounts. Over...

2024-05-14 00:55:00 ET Summary Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari issued an essay saying that the recent inflation data raise questions about whether their monetary policy is restrictive enough to fully return price growth to the central bank’s 2% target rate. Kashkari...

2024-05-14 00:15:00 ET Summary While oversimplifying any formula in the financial markets tends to backfire more often than not, good inflation numbers tend to deliver new highs for the S&P 500. My thesis is that we put in a bottom in April, which should, hold with a dovish Fe...

2024-05-13 16:20:00 ET Summary Lower financing costs and loosening credit availability can help level the playing field between small- and large-cap stocks. Smaller caps are often under researched. Also, a selective approach helps find overlooked opportunities and manage risks. ...