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A Shift in Paradigm Paradigms are generally defined as a framework that has unwritten rules and that directs actions. A paradigm shift occurs when one paradigm loses its influence and another takes over. The Variable Changing Price Momentum Indicator (VC PMI) has shown that go...

In my previous article , I've written about how important US dollar movements are for future silver prices. The chance of a significant silver rally during the US dollar strength is very low; and it is very high during the US dollar decline. The structure of the silver bull market since 200...

Silver is finally gaining on gold, reversing nearly all of its richer cousin's gains since silver's coronavirus collapse. It took 125 ounces of silver to buy one ounce of gold barely a month ago. This drove the gold/silver ratio far above its previous all-time highs. It now takes 97.38 ounces ...

A Black Swan with Teeth For years I have been warning that during the age of permanent stimulus (which began in earnest with the Federal Reserve’s reaction to the dotcom crash of 2000), each successive economic contraction would have to be met with ever larger, increasingly ineffe...

Gold: Fundamentals The sentiment of the gold market is extremely bullish. Usually the VC PMI is a contrarian indicator. Gold is breaking out and people are calling ridiculous numbers of $10,000 and $20,000 an ounce. Most people have no idea what it means economically for gold to be at $10,...

The markets seem to have stabilized, for now. Gold continues to sit around the $1700 per ounce level. Last week I wrote , “ Gold may be sleeping for now, but much higher highs are on the horizon if the price action that followed 2008 is an example. ” Gold mining shares oft...

A recent spate of news concerning the deteriorating relations between the U.S. and China has sent investors scurrying to the safety of the precious metals. In this report, we’ll look at how financial market weakness and geopolitical concerns involving China typically result in higher go...

U.S. M1 Exploding The Fed has stepped up to the mark in the COVID-19 crisis in an unprecedented manner. The monetary base is still growing as is US M1, with the latest report showing an extraordinary rate of increase in response to this extraordinary crisis. Chart by Author from FRED Da...

May 14, 2020 at 7 am PST. The E-mini S&P is at an area where it is likely to revert back up to the mean, while gold is reaching new highs and we are in an area where a sell signal is likely. We use the proprietary artificial intelligence of the Variable Changing Price Momentum Indicator ...

Editor's note: Originally published at tsi-blog.com on May 12, 2020. According to my Gold True Fundamentals Model (GTFM), the gold market's "true fundamentals" most recently shifted from bearish to bullish in December of last year. As indicated on the following weekly chart by the blue l...