UBN News and Press, E-TRACS USB Bloomberg Commodity Index Exchange Traded Notes UBS Bloomberg CMCI Energy ETN From 04/01/22

The West is responding to Russia's invasion of Ukraine by weaning itself off Russian energy. Europe will have an acute need for more fossil fuels from outside Russia to meet its energy demands and achieve its ambitious plans to reduce its reliance on Russia. By spurring the transi...

The Western world stands aghast at the suffering of the Ukrainian people. The global economic consequences of the conflict could also be severe, because Russia and Ukraine are major exporters of vital commodities. The US and UK have announced oil embargos, with the US ban immediately ...

A confluence of negative factors set U.S. stocks up for a difficult start to 2022. However, we see both a short- and longer-term opportunity taking shape. Intraday market volatility has been dramatic and stock selling has become indiscriminate, as is often the case in big market swing...

Russia’s attack on Ukraine will have lasting and negative effects on the world economy. Within Russia, businesses selling to the domestic market will see foreign sources of products and services as unreliable, leading to local sourcing at higher costs and a lower variety of ava...

WTI crude closed last week at $114 a barrel, so the 2008 high is in play, contingent of course on how the Ukrainian crisis plays out. With sanctions on Russia, one of the largest commodity producers, about 25% of the global wheat supply is in danger, and given that the soybean harvest...

Oil prices have reached the highest levels since the all-time highs in 2008. The most obvious explanation for the sharp rally is the military conflict in Ukraine and the threat of a loss of Russian oil supplies. The extent to which a forward curve is in backwardation or contango is st...

Russia conflict further straining oil supply. Could an EU embargo on Russian oil push oil price near $200? How high could oil prices go this year? For further details see: No Signs Of Slowing Demand As Ukraine Conflict Pushes Oil Higher

We are experiencing an environment with a sharply higher probability of large, abrupt price moves related to event risk. Volatility typically reflects a simple measurement of the average of the ups and downs. The standard deviation is an average of ups and downs, and unfortunately...

Based on new hopes for a peaceful Ukrainian/Russian resolution to their nearly month-long war, the world is cautiously optimistic. Although China has been trying to help Russia avoid economic sanctions, China is struggling with its own debt problems from Evergrande, slowing economic g...

Volatility persists - but it is accompanied by a shift back to market patterns associated with pre-war concerns about inflation and rising rates. Grain and fertilizer shortages could become an issue later this year, but energy prices remain the major immediate transmission mechanism t...