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SEA experienced a severe contraction in 2020 because of lockdowns and border closures to control the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, which halted economic activity and business in the region. Singapore is on track for power demand recovery. The average power demand in Q1-2022 surpass...

The EIA reported Brazil’s January production increased by 194 kb/d to 3,032 kb/d. The EIA reported that Russian output decreased by 99 kb/d in January to 10,598 kb/d. January’s world oil production increased by 137 kb/d to 79,659 kb/d according to the EIA. For ...

Just when we thought the world economy was regaining its footing, a military conflict in Europe has led us to reconsider our outlook for growth and inflation. In light of Russia’s invasion, we developed a framework for thinking about the economic impact of the conflict on the e...

Some astute stock market observers are pointing out that due to inflation, a massive P/E compression is now underway. You can’t have a negative quarter when nearly all the constituent components of GDP are rising. Small businesses appear to be incurring a higher "quit" rate...

T-note futures took out lows going back to 2011 last night, extending the free fall that began just two months ago. It’s not just the price action of Treasury futures that has us spooked; it’s also what some key commodities are telling us. How long will it be before ...

There was a lot of volatility in stocks last week but in the end, the S&P 500 was down a mere 21 basis points. A rising currency is presumably negative for the export sector and positive for domestic purchasing power. On a sector basis, there were several winners last week wit...

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen proposed a complete import ban on all Russian oil as part of the EU’s latest sanctions package. Russia’s oil exports are typically worth more than twice as much as its gas exports, and the EU is the destination for nearl...

The map of the Asset Allocation Committee’s market views is a buzz of activity this quarter. Coming into 2022, we anticipated slower growth compared with the steep recovery levels of 2021 and inflation that was declining but persistent—and problematic due to its origins ...

Energy is still the only game in town for strong upside momentum in the US equity sector this year. While the usual suspects in the business of extracting and selling fossil fuels are enjoying windfall profits lately, no one will confuse these firms with the renewable/green energy spa...

The energy sector is looking at the strongest revenue growth of all 11 sectors in the S&P 500 in 2022. The one bright spot for energy bulls is the very positive revisions in expected quarterly revenue growth for the energy sector happening already in 2022. For the energy bears...