UBT News and Press, ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury From 07/11/23

2023-07-11 19:05:00 ET Summary The New York Fed’s Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE) was released earlier this week and showed a continuation of the trend where consumer inflation expectations have been falling. Over the next 12 months, the Fed’s survey showed tha...

2023-07-11 10:46:00 ET Summary Stocks have traditionally tumbled when the price of the US 20-year Treasury bond rises, and the gap between stock and Treasury prices today is the largest we have seen in at least 20 years. We can never know when equity markets will recover cycle hig...

2023-07-11 06:35:00 ET Summary Since there is an outspoken minority of doves on the Fed, I think the July FOMC decision will rest on the June inflation reports, especially the Consumer Price Index (CPI). As CPI surged 1.2% in June 2022, I am expecting that its annual pace this mon...

2023-07-11 03:32:00 ET Summary Credit booms typically involve both asset revaluation and new issuance. But the problem with some credit booms is that they lead to excesses and sometimes excess inflation. While the Fed has been raising rates for well over a year now, the policy has...

2023-07-10 21:26:00 ET Summary There was considerable concern about how much of past policy moves were being reflected in the current data and how much of that tightening remained to be reflected in future data. Inflation was projected to be 3.0% this year, reflecting, in part, de...

2023-07-10 21:10:00 ET Summary At the beginning of this year, the consensus was that a recession was imminent (within 6 months) so stocks would perform poorly in the first half of the year; bonds were the better choice. The 10-year Treasury yield finally broke above the short-term...

2023-07-10 13:17:00 ET Summary It’s possible to enter a period where recession clearly becomes increasingly likely, even as it remains exceedingly difficult to predict the timing of a recession with any confidence. An extremely soft landing would allow inflation to fall whi...

2023-07-10 13:04:00 ET Summary The money management profession believes stocks and bonds have separate levels of risk of decline. The way this is expressed and managed is through a ratio of stocks and bonds, for example 60/40. The purpose of the ratios was to manage risk. Today, t...

2023-07-10 11:30:00 ET Summary Higher expected corporate earnings mask broad pressure under the surface. We see more earnings pain ahead and look for opportunities at the sector level. U.S. Treasury yields surged and stocks dipped last week. Data confirmed the U.S. labor market is...

2023-07-07 13:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method.  This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...