UBT News and Press, ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury From 09/06/23

2023-09-06 23:30:00 ET Summary The primary reason why sentiment might be low is because sentiment tends to lag. If you review past recessions sentiment will always decline during a recession. Real wages tricked us on the upside, then depressed us on the downside. Real wages su...

2023-09-06 11:10:00 ET Summary The August jobs report showed that the US economy is slowing, but it’s still in very good condition. Manufacturing new orders in the eurozone fell to one of the lower levels on record in August. As China’s post-pandemic economic reo...

2023-09-06 10:00:00 ET Summary Labor market activity in the US appears to be softening, according to recent jobs data. The three-month moving average of new job creation is showing a visible slowing trend. The unemployment rate rose to 3.8% in August, but this was due to a sur...

2023-09-06 03:15:00 ET Summary We rationalise why US longer tenor rates are rising – basically, the curve is inverted and getting used to discounting structurally higher rates. If so, reversion to a normal curve must mean dis-inversion from the back end. When something ...

2023-09-06 03:15:00 ET Summary On the interest rate front, the Federal funds rate is now close to systematic benchmarks that have historically been consistent with prevailing core inflation, nominal GDP growth, and unemployment. By dropping interest rates to just 1% after the coll...

2023-09-05 13:55:00 ET Summary Why the Fed may have one more hike up its sleeve. U.S. economic resiliency continues to confuse market watchers. Why the bond market has been getting the outlook for rates wrong. From upcoming central bank meetings to key economic data,...

2023-09-05 11:30:00 ET Summary We up short-term sovereign bonds on attractive yields and downgrade credit in the long run. We stay cautious on long-term bonds even with the surge in yields. U.S. stocks recovered last week as 10-year yields slid from 16-year highs. Jobs data showed...

2023-09-05 09:05:00 ET Summary The 6-month U.S. Treasury bill is yielding just about exactly 5.5%, while the S&P 500 Index is yielding less than 1.6% - one of the greatest spreads ever recorded. The U.S. Treasury yield curve is at all-time record inversion, meaning that the sh...

2023-09-05 02:25:00 ET Summary The Bureau of Labor Statistics announced the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCEPI) increased 0.2 percent in July. Averaging over the past five months, the PCEPI has grown at 2.16 percent annually. For three months and one month, the f...

2023-09-05 01:20:00 ET Summary The revision to Q2 GDP last week showed that real GDP rose by 2.1% annualized while the GDP deflator (a measure of inflation) rose 2% annualized. Personal consumption rose in July by 0.8%, outstripping the gain in personal income (+0.2%) and well in ...