UBT News and Press, ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury From 01/31/24

2024-01-31 18:20:00 ET Summary Employment costs are cooling broadly despite the tight jobs market. Cooling labour cost environment offers the Fed the room to cut interest rates meaningfully to neutral levels. Employment costs rose 0.9% quarter-on-quarter in 4Q versus 1.1% in 3...

2024-01-31 10:30:00 ET Summary The core Personal Consumption Expenditures price index fell to its lowest level since March 2021. Euro area business optimism about the coming year improved for a fourth consecutive month in January. Last week brought several announcements from r...

2024-01-31 02:00:00 ET Summary If the Fed does happen to break something and the economy grinds to a halt, it can respond very quickly. We believe growth of 2.5% is very doable in the 2020s. Healthcare companies are fast becoming data companies. In their first walk o...

2024-01-30 11:35:00 ET Summary The US 10-2-year Treasury yield spread has moved from a deep inversion at 108 bps last July to -14 bps as of January 25, 2024. Re-steepening of the yield curve has historically coincided with rising unemployment claims. For stocks, corporate debt...

2024-01-30 09:22:00 ET Summary Interest rates in most parts of the world appear to be stabilizing as we enter 2024, as inflation trends continue to decline from the high levels seen in the summer of 2022. The Federal Reserve remains laser-focused on inflation and suggested there m...

2024-01-30 03:20:00 ET Summary In my opinion, the border and the US labor force are paramount political issues in 2024. The current longevity and depth of the yield curve inversion is not atypical of the inversions that have preceded all recessions in the post-war period. The ...

2024-01-29 17:35:00 ET Summary Nominal GDP expanded an annualized 4.8% quarter-to-quarter and 5.8% year-over-year. Real GDP grew by 3.3% quarter-to-quarter and 3.1% year-over-year. The price index for domestic purchases rose 1.9% versus 2.9% last quarter. Bond market volat...

2024-01-29 17:15:00 ET Summary Both headline and core inflation (excluding food and energy prices) were 0.2 percent in December. Year-over-year, the figures were 2.6 percent and 2.9 percent, respectively. Stronger growth and falling inflation should signal to the Fed it’s t...

2024-01-29 12:25:00 ET Summary We think stock momentum can run for now as inflation cools and the Federal Reserve readies to cut rates. So we up our overall U.S. stocks view to overweight. Tech stocks led the S&P 500 to consecutive record highs last week. Robust U.S. Q4 GDP gr...

2024-01-29 09:24:00 ET Summary The economy has gained a head of steam since the FOMC’s December 13th meeting. Additional stronger-than-expected data this week. Q4 GDP was reported at 3.3%, down from Q3’s blistering 4.9%, but significantly above the 2.0% consensus est...